Recent outages across Claude services in June—including major disruptions on June 2, 18, and 23 affecting claude.ai, the API, Claude Code, and models like Opus—have heightened trader focus on Anthropic’s infrastructure resilience amid surging demand. These incidents, often tied to elevated error rates, networking issues, and high-traffic agentic workloads, follow similar events earlier in 2026 and have eroded confidence in consistent uptime despite reported 99.3–99.6% figures over recent quarters. With closely matched probabilities across downtime ranges, markets reflect uncertainty over whether ongoing engineering fixes, capacity upgrades, and model optimizations will stabilize performance in July or if continued growth and scaling will trigger additional incidents.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日12+ 45%
6-8 43%
0-2 43%
3-5 43%
新規
新規
2026/07/31
0-2
43%
3-5
43%
6-8
43%
9-11
43%
12+
45%
12+ 45%
6-8 43%
0-2 43%
3-5 43%
新規
新規
2026/07/31
0-2
$0 Vol.
43%
3-5
$0 Vol.
43%
6-8
$0 Vol.
43%
9-11
$0 Vol.
43%
12+
$0 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in July 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent outages across Claude services in June—including major disruptions on June 2, 18, and 23 affecting claude.ai, the API, Claude Code, and models like Opus—have heightened trader focus on Anthropic’s infrastructure resilience amid surging demand. These incidents, often tied to elevated error rates, networking issues, and high-traffic agentic workloads, follow similar events earlier in 2026 and have eroded confidence in consistent uptime despite reported 99.3–99.6% figures over recent quarters. With closely matched probabilities across downtime ranges, markets reflect uncertainty over whether ongoing engineering fixes, capacity upgrades, and model optimizations will stabilize performance in July or if continued growth and scaling will trigger additional incidents.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in July 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
マーケット開始日： Jun 30, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in July 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent outages across Claude services in June—including major disruptions on June 2, 18, and 23 affecting claude.ai, the API, Claude Code, and models like Opus—have heightened trader focus on Anthropic’s infrastructure resilience amid surging demand. These incidents, often tied to elevated error rates, networking issues, and high-traffic agentic workloads, follow similar events earlier in 2026 and have eroded confidence in consistent uptime despite reported 99.3–99.6% figures over recent quarters. With closely matched probabilities across downtime ranges, markets reflect uncertainty over whether ongoing engineering fixes, capacity upgrades, and model optimizations will stabilize performance in July or if continued growth and scaling will trigger additional incidents.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in July 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
音量
$0終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent outages across Claude services in June—including major disruptions on June 2, 18, and 23 affecting claude.ai, the API, Claude Code, and models like Opus—have heightened trader focus on Anthropic’s infrastructure resilience amid surging demand. These incidents, often tied to elevated error rates, networking issues, and high-traffic agentic workloads, follow similar events earlier in 2026 and have eroded confidence in consistent uptime despite reported 99.3–99.6% figures over recent quarters. With closely matched probabilities across downtime ranges, markets reflect uncertainty over whether ongoing engineering fixes, capacity upgrades, and model optimizations will stabilize performance in July or if continued growth and scaling will trigger additional incidents.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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