Recent outages and elevated error rates across Claude models, including major disruptions on June 2 and 5 plus shorter incidents on June 7 and 13, have shaped trader views toward 6–8 or 9–11 downtime days for the month. High user demand for frontier models like Opus has repeatedly strained Anthropic’s infrastructure, producing API and web service issues that resolve within hours but recur amid rapid scaling. Status page data shows quick fixes and strong overall uptime, yet the pattern of partial outages in early June keeps probabilities closely split between the leading outcomes. Traders are watching for any new model releases or traffic spikes that could extend instability before month-end resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6-8 42%
9-11 34%
12+ 14%
3-5 4.6%
$12,879 Vol.
$12,879 Vol.
2026/06/30
3-5
5%
6-8
42%
9-11
34%
12+
14%
6-8 42%
9-11 34%
12+ 14%
3-5 4.6%
$12,879 Vol.
$12,879 Vol.
2026/06/30
3-5
$4,244 Vol.
5%
6-8
$1,423 Vol.
42%
9-11
$1,884 Vol.
34%
12+
$2,033 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent outages and elevated error rates across Claude models, including major disruptions on June 2 and 5 plus shorter incidents on June 7 and 13, have shaped trader views toward 6–8 or 9–11 downtime days for the month. High user demand for frontier models like Opus has repeatedly strained Anthropic’s infrastructure, producing API and web service issues that resolve within hours but recur amid rapid scaling. Status page data shows quick fixes and strong overall uptime, yet the pattern of partial outages in early June keeps probabilities closely split between the leading outcomes. Traders are watching for any new model releases or traffic spikes that could extend instability before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
マーケット開始日： May 26, 2026, 6:38 PM ET
音量
$12,879終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent outages and elevated error rates across Claude models, including major disruptions on June 2 and 5 plus shorter incidents on June 7 and 13, have shaped trader views toward 6–8 or 9–11 downtime days for the month. High user demand for frontier models like Opus has repeatedly strained Anthropic’s infrastructure, producing API and web service issues that resolve within hours but recur amid rapid scaling. Status page data shows quick fixes and strong overall uptime, yet the pattern of partial outages in early June keeps probabilities closely split between the leading outcomes. Traders are watching for any new model releases or traffic spikes that could extend instability before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
音量
$12,879終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent outages and elevated error rates across Claude models, including major disruptions on June 2 and 5 plus shorter incidents on June 7 and 13, have shaped trader views toward 6–8 or 9–11 downtime days for the month. High user demand for frontier models like Opus has repeatedly strained Anthropic’s infrastructure, producing API and web service issues that resolve within hours but recur amid rapid scaling. Status page data shows quick fixes and strong overall uptime, yet the pattern of partial outages in early June keeps probabilities closely split between the leading outcomes. Traders are watching for any new model releases or traffic spikes that could extend instability before month-end resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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