Poor presales and sharply revised tracking have cemented trader consensus around a sub-$17 million opening for "Digger," with the latest projections from Variety and Boxoffice Pro centering on $8–15 million. Mixed-to-negative early reviews, divided social reactions to the climate satire, and Tom Cruise’s unrecognizable prosthetics-heavy turn have cooled audience interest ahead of the October 2 wide release. Warner Bros. faces added pressure as this marks its final standalone film before the Paramount deal, with a reported $160–180 million budget making even modest returns challenging. Strong word-of-mouth or better-than-expected audience scores could still lift the debut into the low twenties, though current momentum makes that outcome unlikely.
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