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icon for イーロン・マスクは2026年6月5日から6月12日までツイートしていますか?

イーロン・マスクは2026年6月5日から6月12日までツイートしていますか?

icon for イーロン・マスクは2026年6月5日から6月12日までツイートしていますか?

イーロン・マスクは2026年6月5日から6月12日までツイートしていますか?

220-239 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$7,079,891 Vol.

220-239 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$7,079,891 Vol.

<20

$19,176 Vol.

No

20-39

$14,856 Vol.

No

40-59

$22,130 Vol.

No

60-79

$123,518 Vol.

No

80-99

$195,093 Vol.

No

100-119

$163,137 Vol.

No

120-139

$161,098 Vol.

No

140-159

$199,216 Vol.

No

160-179

$312,552 Vol.

No

180-199

$697,018 Vol.

No

200-219

$571,074 Vol.

No

220-239

$740,567 Vol.

Yes

240-259

$699,793 Vol.

No

260-279

$552,003 Vol.

No

280-299

$612,991 Vol.

No

300-319

$326,455 Vol.

No

320-339

$250,448 Vol.

No

340-359

$215,568 Vol.

No

360-379

$134,771 Vol.

No

380-399

$124,741 Vol.

No

400-419

$199,412 Vol.

No

420-439

$177,924 Vol.

No

440〜459

$129,644 Vol.

いいえ

460〜479

$124,126 Vol.

いいえ

480-499

$117,823 Vol.

No

500以上

$194,757 Vol.

いいえ

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 5 12:00 PM ET to June 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established rhythm of high-volume posting on X underpins the market's near-certain alignment with the 220-239 range for June 5-12. His typical output—often 25-40 posts daily including replies, emojis, and media—aligns with steady engagement around SpaceX milestones, Tesla updates, and real-time commentary, with no breaks or reduced activity reported in recent tracking of comparable weeks. Precursor markets on adjacent periods have repeatedly resolved in the low-to-mid 200s, reinforcing trader confidence in this baseline pace through the period's close. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown, such as an extended offline period or major personal distraction, though current momentum makes such shifts improbable.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 5 12:00 PM ET to June 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$7,079,891
終了日
2026/06/12
マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 5 12:00 PM ET to June 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 5 12:00 PM ET to June 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established rhythm of high-volume posting on X underpins the market's near-certain alignment with the 220-239 range for June 5-12. His typical output—often 25-40 posts daily including replies, emojis, and media—aligns with steady engagement around SpaceX milestones, Tesla updates, and real-time commentary, with no breaks or reduced activity reported in recent tracking of comparable weeks. Precursor markets on adjacent periods have repeatedly resolved in the low-to-mid 200s, reinforcing trader confidence in this baseline pace through the period's close. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown, such as an extended offline period or major personal distraction, though current momentum makes such shifts improbable.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 5 12:00 PM ET to June 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$7,079,891
終了日
2026/06/12
マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 5 12:00 PM ET to June 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「イーロン・マスクは2026年6月5日から6月12日までツイートしていますか?」はPolymarket上の26個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「220-239」で100%、次いで「<20」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「イーロン・マスクは2026年6月5日から6月12日までツイートしていますか?」は$7.1 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Jun 2, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「イーロン・マスクは2026年6月5日から6月12日までツイートしていますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている26個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イーロン・マスクは2026年6月5日から6月12日までツイートしていますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「220-239」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「<20」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イーロン・マスクは2026年6月5日から6月12日までツイートしていますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。