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icon for イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年5月8日〜5月15日？
政治·文化

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年5月8日〜5月15日？

icon for イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年5月8日〜5月15日？
政治·文化

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年5月8日〜5月15日？

Ended: 5月 15

5月 19

5月 22

5月 26

Ended: 5月 15

5月 19

5月 22

5月 26

140〜159 100.0%

<20 <1%

20〜39 <1%

40～59 <1%

Polymarket

$13,408,024 Vol.

140〜159 100.0%

<20 <1%

20〜39 <1%

40～59 <1%

Polymarket

$13,408,024 Vol.

<20

$81,572 Vol.

いいえ

20〜39

$216,988 Vol.

いいえ

40～59

$1,113,353 Vol.

いいえ

60〜79

$985,520 Vol.

いいえ

80～99

$1,996,557 Vol.

いいえ

100～119

$1,011,099 Vol.

いいえ

120～139

$1,101,040 Vol.

いいえ

140〜159

$1,104,427 Vol.

はい

160～179

$1,245,166 Vol.

いいえ

180〜199

$1,010,026 Vol.

いいえ

200～219

$741,191 Vol.

いいえ

220〜239

$630,534 Vol.

いいえ

240〜259

$406,327 Vol.

いいえ

260〜279

$273,443 Vol.

いいえ

280〜299

$209,007 Vol.

いいえ

300〜319

$209,078 Vol.

いいえ

320～339

$194,069 Vol.

いいえ

340～359

$66,533 Vol.

いいえ

360～379

$71,558 Vol.

いいえ

380～399

$68,097 Vol.

いいえ

400～419

$59,977 Vol.

いいえ

420〜439

$120,221 Vol.

いいえ

440〜459

$92,854 Vol.

いいえ

460～479

$118,300 Vol.

いいえ

480〜499

$88,095 Vol.

いいえ

500以上

$192,994 Vol.

いいえ

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Polymarket traders have reached overwhelming consensus at 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 140-159 times on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15 12:00 PM ET, anchored by real-time trackers logging 133 posts as of 9:00 AM ET today after a steady pace of 19 daily average—including a 41-post spike yesterday amid viral critiques of Hollywood's DEI standards and Christopher Nolan's "The Odyssey" casting controversy. This skin-in-the-game sentiment reflects his consistent pop culture engagement on culture-war flashpoints, with historical patterns showing rare deviations from such projections near period ends. Realistic upsets would require an unprecedented 27+ post surge in the final three hours—far exceeding his intraday norms—or a rare oracle recount, though conditions remain locked barring last-minute anomalies.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$13,408,024
終了日
2026/05/15
マーケット開始日
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

結算ソース

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Polymarket traders have reached overwhelming consensus at 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 140-159 times on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15 12:00 PM ET, anchored by real-time trackers logging 133 posts as of 9:00 AM ET today after a steady pace of 19 daily average—including a 41-post spike yesterday amid viral critiques of Hollywood's DEI standards and Christopher Nolan's "The Odyssey" casting controversy. This skin-in-the-game sentiment reflects his consistent pop culture engagement on culture-war flashpoints, with historical patterns showing rare deviations from such projections near period ends. Realistic upsets would require an unprecedented 27+ post surge in the final three hours—far exceeding his intraday norms—or a rare oracle recount, though conditions remain locked barring last-minute anomalies.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$13,408,024
終了日
2026/05/15
マーケット開始日
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

結算ソース

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年5月8日〜5月15日？」はPolymarket上の26個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「140〜159」で100%、次いで「<20」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年5月8日〜5月15日？」は$13.4 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（May 5, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年5月8日〜5月15日？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている26個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年5月8日〜5月15日？」の現在のフロントランナーは「140〜159」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「<20」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年5月8日〜5月15日？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。