Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026, at a 48.1% implied probability for 100-119 total, with 120-139 close behind at 31.4%, reflecting 43 confirmed posts through roughly six days elapsed and a mid-teens daily average so far. This positioning stems from Elon's consistent but moderated activity amid packed schedules—visiting Intel fabs, Starship static fires, Mother's Day shoutouts, and a French prosecutorial probe sparking multilingual clapbacks—tempering his typical high-volume bursts seen in prior weeks like May 1-8's 100-119 resolution. With three days left, traders anticipate steady cultural commentary on politics, AI, and space without explosive surges, though his Air Force One trip to Beijing alongside Jensen Huang could influence final momentum before the May 15 close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日100～119 47.8%
120～139 30.4%
80～99 12.0%
140〜159 7.8%
$7,384,991 Vol.
$7,384,991 Vol.
80～99
12%
100～119
48%
120～139
30%
140〜159
8%
160～179
2%
180〜199
1%
200～219
<1%
220〜239
<1%
240〜259
<1%
260〜279
<1%
280〜299
<1%
300〜319
<1%
320～339
<1%
340～359
<1%
360～379
<1%
380～399
<1%
400～419
<1%
420〜439
<1%
440〜459
<1%
460～479
<1%
480〜499
<1%
500以上
<1%
100～119 47.8%
120～139 30.4%
80～99 12.0%
140〜159 7.8%
$7,384,991 Vol.
$7,384,991 Vol.
80～99
12%
100～119
48%
120～139
30%
140〜159
8%
160～179
2%
180〜199
1%
200～219
<1%
220〜239
<1%
240〜259
<1%
260〜279
<1%
280〜299
<1%
300〜319
<1%
320～339
<1%
340～359
<1%
360～379
<1%
380～399
<1%
400～419
<1%
420〜439
<1%
440〜459
<1%
460～479
<1%
480〜499
<1%
500以上
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026, at a 48.1% implied probability for 100-119 total, with 120-139 close behind at 31.4%, reflecting 43 confirmed posts through roughly six days elapsed and a mid-teens daily average so far. This positioning stems from Elon's consistent but moderated activity amid packed schedules—visiting Intel fabs, Starship static fires, Mother's Day shoutouts, and a French prosecutorial probe sparking multilingual clapbacks—tempering his typical high-volume bursts seen in prior weeks like May 1-8's 100-119 resolution. With three days left, traders anticipate steady cultural commentary on politics, AI, and space without explosive surges, though his Air Force One trip to Beijing alongside Jensen Huang could influence final momentum before the May 15 close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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