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icon for ユーロビジョン2026 ：準決勝2位

ユーロビジョン2026 ：準決勝2位

icon for ユーロビジョン2026 ：準決勝2位

ユーロビジョン2026 ：準決勝2位

$1,069,838 Vol.

2026/05/14
Polymarket

$1,069,838 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for オーストラリア

オーストラリア

$120,152 Vol.

はい

icon for ルクセンブルク

ルクセンブルク

$65,414 Vol.

いいえ

icon for マルタ

マルタ

$35,835 Vol.

はい

icon for ルーマニア

ルーマニア

$28,172 Vol.

はい

icon for ウクライナ

ウクライナ

$44,648 Vol.

はい

icon for アルバニア

アルバニア

$72,703 Vol.

はい

icon for ブルガリア

ブルガリア

$150,833 Vol.

はい

icon for チェコ

チェコ

$104,027 Vol.

はい

icon for ラトビア

ラトビア

$32,362 Vol.

いいえ

icon for アルメニア

アルメニア

$67,532 Vol.

いいえ

icon for キプロス

キプロス

$104,985 Vol.

はい

icon for スイス

スイス

$102,763 Vol.

いいえ

icon for アゼルバイジャン

アゼルバイジャン

$24,754 Vol.

いいえ

icon for デンマーク

デンマーク

$66,715 Vol.

はい

icon for ノルウェー

ノルウェー

$48,942 Vol.

はい

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The second semi-final of Eurovision Song Contest 2026 unfolds tonight at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, where 15 acts vie for the last 10 grand final spots alongside first semi qualifiers like Finland, Croatia, and Israel. Dress rehearsals yesterday showcased frontrunner momentum for Ukraine's LELÉKA with the heartfelt "Ridnym," Australia's Delta Goodrem delivering powerhouse "Eclipse," and Romania's provocative "Choke Me" by Alexandra Căpitănescu, amplified by strong staging and diaspora televote potential. Bulgaria's opener DARA "Bangaranga" and Czechia's Daniel Zizka "CROSSROADS" impressed juries, per recap buzz, while Nordic entries Denmark and Norway face tight competition. Polymarket's trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game bets on rehearsal standouts and historical qualification patterns, with results from combined jury and public votes revealed post-21:00 CEST show, ahead of Saturday's final.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$1,069,838
終了日
2026/05/14
マーケット開始日
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The second semi-final of Eurovision Song Contest 2026 unfolds tonight at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, where 15 acts vie for the last 10 grand final spots alongside first semi qualifiers like Finland, Croatia, and Israel. Dress rehearsals yesterday showcased frontrunner momentum for Ukraine's LELÉKA with the heartfelt "Ridnym," Australia's Delta Goodrem delivering powerhouse "Eclipse," and Romania's provocative "Choke Me" by Alexandra Căpitănescu, amplified by strong staging and diaspora televote potential. Bulgaria's opener DARA "Bangaranga" and Czechia's Daniel Zizka "CROSSROADS" impressed juries, per recap buzz, while Nordic entries Denmark and Norway face tight competition. Polymarket's trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game bets on rehearsal standouts and historical qualification patterns, with results from combined jury and public votes revealed post-21:00 CEST show, ahead of Saturday's final.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$1,069,838
終了日
2026/05/14
マーケット開始日
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ユーロビジョン2026 ：準決勝2位」はPolymarket上の15個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「オーストラリア」で100%、次いで「マルタ」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ユーロビジョン2026 ：準決勝2位」は$1.1 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Jan 16, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ユーロビジョン2026 ：準決勝2位」で取引するには、このページに記載されている15個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ユーロビジョン2026 ：準決勝2位」の現在のフロントランナーは「オーストラリア」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「マルタ」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ユーロビジョン2026 ：準決勝2位」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。