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icon for Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner

Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner

icon for Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner

Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner

Australia 45%

Ukraine 14.8%

Denmark 14%

Bulgaria 12.2%

Polymarket

$178,702 Vol.

Australia 45%

Ukraine 14.8%

Denmark 14%

Bulgaria 12.2%

Polymarket

$178,702 Vol.

Australia

$31,814 Vol.

45%

Ukraine

$10,709 Vol.

15%

Denmark

$43,069 Vol.

20%

Bulgaria

$10,073 Vol.

12%

Romania

$13,318 Vol.

11%

Albania

$6,045 Vol.

1%

Cyprus

$6,851 Vol.

1%

Czechia

$8,058 Vol.

1%

Norway

$6,340 Vol.

<1%

Malta

$8,110 Vol.

<1%

Armenia

$7,594 Vol.

<1%

Azerbaijan

$5,445 Vol.

<1%

Latvia

$8,488 Vol.

<1%

Luxembourg

$6,681 Vol.

<1%

Switzerland

$6,107 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Australia's Delta Goodrem has emerged as the clear frontrunner at 43.5% implied probability to win the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final, propelled by topping jury scores in yesterday's dress rehearsal with 139 points for her visually striking "Eclipse"—featuring innovative eclipse-themed staging, Swarovski-embellished couture, and a unique pyro finale that captivated professional voters. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund trails at 18.5%, buoyed by strong rehearsal buzz and melodic ballad "Før vi går hjem"'s broad appeal, while Ukraine's Leléka garners 14.8% on diaspora televote potential for patriotic "Ridnym." Bulgaria (12.2%) and Romania (11.5%) round out contenders with high-energy openers "Bangaranga" and "Choke Me," respectively. Tonight's live show in Vienna blends jury and public votes to crown the semi-final winner and advance 10 acts to Saturday's grand final, where televote surges could upend jury momentum.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$178,702
終了日
2026/05/12
マーケット開始日
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Australia's Delta Goodrem has emerged as the clear frontrunner at 43.5% implied probability to win the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final, propelled by topping jury scores in yesterday's dress rehearsal with 139 points for her visually striking "Eclipse"—featuring innovative eclipse-themed staging, Swarovski-embellished couture, and a unique pyro finale that captivated professional voters. Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund trails at 18.5%, buoyed by strong rehearsal buzz and melodic ballad "Før vi går hjem"'s broad appeal, while Ukraine's Leléka garners 14.8% on diaspora televote potential for patriotic "Ridnym." Bulgaria (12.2%) and Romania (11.5%) round out contenders with high-energy openers "Bangaranga" and "Choke Me," respectively. Tonight's live show in Vienna blends jury and public votes to crown the semi-final winner and advance 10 acts to Saturday's grand final, where televote surges could upend jury momentum.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$178,702
終了日
2026/05/12
マーケット開始日
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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よくある質問

「Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner」はPolymarket上の15個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Australia」で45%、次いで「Denmark」が20%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、45¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に45%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner」は$178.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています（May 7, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている15個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「Australia」で45%であり、市場がこの結果に45%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Denmark」で20%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。