Finland's Linda Lampenius and Peter Parkkonen have solidified frontrunner status after standout second rehearsals in Vienna, propelling their Liekinheitin to 30-40% implied win probability across bookmakers and boosting trader consensus for a 25-49 point margin of victory at 34.5% on Polymarket. Greece's Akylas with Ferto and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund trail closely at around 25-30% and 10-12%, respectively, creating a competitive grand final field post-first semi-final qualifiers that included Finland and a controversial Israel entry amid boycotts. Jury-televote splits, bloc voting, and today's second semi-final results heighten upset potential, tempering expectations for blowouts while favoring moderate leads over nail-biters under 25 points (20.5%) or blowouts above 75 (11.5%). Final on May 16 could shift dynamics rapidly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Eurovision 2026: Margin of Victory
Eurovision 2026: Margin of Victory
25-49 35%
50-74 24%
<25 21%
75-99 12%
<25
21%
25-49
35%
50-74
24%
75-99
12%
100-124
6%
125-149
5%
150+
4%
25-49 35%
50-74 24%
<25 21%
75-99 12%
<25
21%
25-49
35%
50-74
24%
75-99
12%
100-124
6%
125-149
5%
150+
4%
This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
マーケット開始日: May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Peter Parkkonen have solidified frontrunner status after standout second rehearsals in Vienna, propelling their Liekinheitin to 30-40% implied win probability across bookmakers and boosting trader consensus for a 25-49 point margin of victory at 34.5% on Polymarket. Greece's Akylas with Ferto and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund trail closely at around 25-30% and 10-12%, respectively, creating a competitive grand final field post-first semi-final qualifiers that included Finland and a controversial Israel entry amid boycotts. Jury-televote splits, bloc voting, and today's second semi-final results heighten upset potential, tempering expectations for blowouts while favoring moderate leads over nail-biters under 25 points (20.5%) or blowouts above 75 (11.5%). Final on May 16 could shift dynamics rapidly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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