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icon for Eurovision 2026: Margin of Victory

Eurovision 2026: Margin of Victory

icon for Eurovision 2026: Margin of Victory

Eurovision 2026: Margin of Victory

25-49 35%

50-74 24%

<25 21%

75-99 12%

Polymarket
新規

25-49 35%

50-74 24%

<25 21%

75-99 12%

Polymarket
新規

<25

$684 Vol.

21%

25-49

$1,701 Vol.

35%

50-74

$651 Vol.

24%

75-99

$586 Vol.

12%

100-124

$822 Vol.

6%

125-149

$859 Vol.

5%

150+

$1,111 Vol.

4%

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Peter Parkkonen have solidified frontrunner status after standout second rehearsals in Vienna, propelling their Liekinheitin to 30-40% implied win probability across bookmakers and boosting trader consensus for a 25-49 point margin of victory at 34.5% on Polymarket. Greece's Akylas with Ferto and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund trail closely at around 25-30% and 10-12%, respectively, creating a competitive grand final field post-first semi-final qualifiers that included Finland and a controversial Israel entry amid boycotts. Jury-televote splits, bloc voting, and today's second semi-final results heighten upset potential, tempering expectations for blowouts while favoring moderate leads over nail-biters under 25 points (20.5%) or blowouts above 75 (11.5%). Final on May 16 could shift dynamics rapidly.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$6,414
終了日
2026/05/16
マーケット開始日
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Peter Parkkonen have solidified frontrunner status after standout second rehearsals in Vienna, propelling their Liekinheitin to 30-40% implied win probability across bookmakers and boosting trader consensus for a 25-49 point margin of victory at 34.5% on Polymarket. Greece's Akylas with Ferto and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund trail closely at around 25-30% and 10-12%, respectively, creating a competitive grand final field post-first semi-final qualifiers that included Finland and a controversial Israel entry amid boycotts. Jury-televote splits, bloc voting, and today's second semi-final results heighten upset potential, tempering expectations for blowouts while favoring moderate leads over nail-biters under 25 points (20.5%) or blowouts above 75 (11.5%). Final on May 16 could shift dynamics rapidly.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$6,414
終了日
2026/05/16
マーケット開始日
May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve according to the absolute difference in points between the first and second place candidates. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no results are announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.com/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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よくある質問

「Eurovision 2026: Margin of Victory」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「25-49」で35%、次いで「50-74」が24%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、35¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に35%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Eurovision 2026: Margin of Victory」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(May 7, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Eurovision 2026: Margin of Victory」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Eurovision 2026: Margin of Victory」の現在のフロントランナーは「25-49」で35%であり、市場がこの結果に35%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「50-74」で24%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Eurovision 2026: Margin of Victory」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。