Bulgaria's commanding lead in the second semi-final of Eurovision 2026 reflects its dominant performance and strong audience reception during the Vienna contest held earlier this week. DARA's energetic entry Bangaranga topped the audience poll with over 16 percent of votes and secured the top spot in the semi-final results, driving the 74.9 percent implied probability among traders. Australia's Delta Goodrem with Eclipse sits at 22.1 percent as the clearest challenger, benefiting from polished ballad staging that appeals to both juries and televoters. Lower odds for Romania, Ukraine, and the rest stem from solid but less standout showings that failed to shift momentum in the final hours of voting. With the grand final looming, these market-implied odds capture the immediate post-semi consensus shaped by live reactions and historical patterns favoring early semi winners.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final Winner
Bulgaria 85.0%
Australia 19.6%
Romania 4.7%
Ukraine 2.0%
$228,848 Vol.
$228,848 Vol.
Bulgaria
78%
Australia
20%
Romania
5%
Ukraine
2%
Czechia
1%
Denmark
<1%
Albania
<1%
Cyprus
<1%
Malta
<1%
Norway
<1%
Bulgaria 85.0%
Australia 19.6%
Romania 4.7%
Ukraine 2.0%
$228,848 Vol.
$228,848 Vol.
Bulgaria
78%
Australia
20%
Romania
5%
Ukraine
2%
Czechia
1%
Denmark
<1%
Albania
<1%
Cyprus
<1%
Malta
<1%
Norway
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
マーケット開始日: May 7, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Bulgaria's commanding lead in the second semi-final of Eurovision 2026 reflects its dominant performance and strong audience reception during the Vienna contest held earlier this week. DARA's energetic entry Bangaranga topped the audience poll with over 16 percent of votes and secured the top spot in the semi-final results, driving the 74.9 percent implied probability among traders. Australia's Delta Goodrem with Eclipse sits at 22.1 percent as the clearest challenger, benefiting from polished ballad staging that appeals to both juries and televoters. Lower odds for Romania, Ukraine, and the rest stem from solid but less standout showings that failed to shift momentum in the final hours of voting. With the grand final looming, these market-implied odds capture the immediate post-semi consensus shaped by live reactions and historical patterns favoring early semi winners.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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