Skip to main content
icon for 6月30日までにFrontierMathベンチマークでGoogle Geminiスコアを取得しますか？
テクノロジー·ビッグテック

6月30日までにFrontierMathベンチマークでGoogle Geminiスコアを取得しますか？

icon for 6月30日までにFrontierMathベンチマークでGoogle Geminiスコアを取得しますか？
テクノロジー·ビッグテック

6月30日までにFrontierMathベンチマークでGoogle Geminiスコアを取得しますか？

$136,324 Vol.

2026/02/28
Polymarket

$136,324 Vol.

Polymarket

40％以上

$30,573 Vol.

86%

45％以上

$49,669 Vol.

66%

50％以上

$18,855 Vol.

62%

60％以上

$37,227 Vol.

54%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Google’s Gemini family continues to demonstrate competitive strength in advanced mathematical reasoning on the FrontierMath benchmark, with Gemini 3 Pro posting 37.6 percent accuracy and its “Deep Think” variant exceeding 40 percent in late 2025 evaluations. The February 2026 release of Gemini 3.1 Pro achieved comparable results on the Tier 1–3 problems while becoming the first model to solve a previously unsolved Tier 4 problem, underscoring incremental gains in handling unpublished, research-level mathematics from number theory to algebraic geometry. OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 currently leads the leaderboard at 47.6 percent, creating a tight competitive gap that traders are watching closely. With June 30 approaching, any unreleased Gemini update, internal scaling improvements, or refined inference techniques could shift the final score before the market resolves.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.

The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$136,324
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Google’s Gemini family continues to demonstrate competitive strength in advanced mathematical reasoning on the FrontierMath benchmark, with Gemini 3 Pro posting 37.6 percent accuracy and its “Deep Think” variant exceeding 40 percent in late 2025 evaluations. The February 2026 release of Gemini 3.1 Pro achieved comparable results on the Tier 1–3 problems while becoming the first model to solve a previously unsolved Tier 4 problem, underscoring incremental gains in handling unpublished, research-level mathematics from number theory to algebraic geometry. OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 currently leads the leaderboard at 47.6 percent, creating a tight competitive gap that traders are watching closely. With June 30 approaching, any unreleased Gemini update, internal scaling improvements, or refined inference techniques could shift the final score before the market resolves.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.

The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$136,324
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「6月30日までにFrontierMathベンチマークでGoogle Geminiスコアを取得しますか？」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「40％以上」で86%、次いで「45％以上」が66%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、86¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に86%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「6月30日までにFrontierMathベンチマークでGoogle Geminiスコアを取得しますか？」は$136.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Feb 6, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「6月30日までにFrontierMathベンチマークでGoogle Geminiスコアを取得しますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「6月30日までにFrontierMathベンチマークでGoogle Geminiスコアを取得しますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「40％以上」で86%であり、市場がこの結果に86%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「45％以上」で66%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「6月30日までにFrontierMathベンチマークでGoogle Geminiスコアを取得しますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。