Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Austin shows a narrow range of possible daily maxima centered on the mid-to-upper 90s for July 9, with subtle differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and weak southeasterly flow determining whether the high settles near 96–97 °F or climbs into the upper 90s. July climatology places the average high near 96–97 °F, so the tight market spread between the two leading bins largely reflects uncertainty in the 24–48-hour evolution of the subtropical ridge rather than long-term signals. No major synoptic features or model outliers currently favor extremes outside this window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月9日のオースティンの最高気温は?
96~97°F 100.0%
89°F以下 <1%
90~91°F <1%
92~93°F <1%
$45,312 Vol.
$45,312 Vol.
89°F以下
<1%
90~91°F
<1%
92~93°F
<1%
94~95°F
<1%
96~97°F
100%
98〜99°F
<1%
100~101°F
<1%
102〜103°F
<1%
104〜105°F
<1%
106〜107°F
<1%
108°F以上
<1%
96~97°F 100.0%
89°F以下 <1%
90~91°F <1%
92~93°F <1%
$45,312 Vol.
$45,312 Vol.
89°F以下
<1%
90~91°F
<1%
92~93°F
<1%
94~95°F
<1%
96~97°F
100%
98〜99°F
<1%
100~101°F
<1%
102〜103°F
<1%
104〜105°F
<1%
106〜107°F
<1%
108°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 7, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Austin shows a narrow range of possible daily maxima centered on the mid-to-upper 90s for July 9, with subtle differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and weak southeasterly flow determining whether the high settles near 96–97 °F or climbs into the upper 90s. July climatology places the average high near 96–97 °F, so the tight market spread between the two leading bins largely reflects uncertainty in the 24–48-hour evolution of the subtropical ridge rather than long-term signals. No major synoptic features or model outliers currently favor extremes outside this window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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