Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin shows a hot, mostly sunny start on September 6 with southerly flow and dew points in the mid-70s, supporting afternoon highs in the mid- to upper 90s before any isolated thunderstorms develop. This setup aligns with the market’s leading 94-95°F bin (40% implied probability) and nearby 92-93°F and 96-97°F outcomes (23% each), as typical late-summer heating plus modest cloud cover and seabreeze influences keep temperatures near or slightly above the 93.4°F climatological average. Recent model runs have shown limited spread, with only low odds assigned to 98°F+ or sub-92°F results given the absence of stronger frontal boundaries or widespread convection that could suppress the daily maximum. Updated NWS forecasts and afternoon observations tomorrow will provide the final resolution data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日のオースティンの最高気温は？
9月6日のオースティンの最高気温は？
94～95°F 40%
92～93°F 24%
96～97°F 23%
98～99°F 6%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
85°F以下
1%
86〜87°F
1%
88～89°F
1%
90～91°F
5%
92～93°F
24%
94～95°F
40%
96～97°F
23%
98～99°F
6%
100〜101°F
2%
102～103°F
2%
華氏104度以上
1%
94～95°F 40%
92～93°F 24%
96～97°F 23%
98～99°F 6%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
85°F以下
$465 Vol.
1%
86〜87°F
$260 Vol.
1%
88～89°F
$0 Vol.
1%
90～91°F
$181 Vol.
5%
92～93°F
$232 Vol.
24%
94～95°F
$176 Vol.
40%
96～97°F
$1,847 Vol.
23%
98～99°F
$272 Vol.
6%
100〜101°F
$110 Vol.
2%
102～103°F
$0 Vol.
2%
華氏104度以上
$160 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin shows a hot, mostly sunny start on September 6 with southerly flow and dew points in the mid-70s, supporting afternoon highs in the mid- to upper 90s before any isolated thunderstorms develop. This setup aligns with the market’s leading 94-95°F bin (40% implied probability) and nearby 92-93°F and 96-97°F outcomes (23% each), as typical late-summer heating plus modest cloud cover and seabreeze influences keep temperatures near or slightly above the 93.4°F climatological average. Recent model runs have shown limited spread, with only low odds assigned to 98°F+ or sub-92°F results given the absence of stronger frontal boundaries or widespread convection that could suppress the daily maximum. Updated NWS forecasts and afternoon observations tomorrow will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
音量
$3,703終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin shows a hot, mostly sunny start on September 6 with southerly flow and dew points in the mid-70s, supporting afternoon highs in the mid- to upper 90s before any isolated thunderstorms develop. This setup aligns with the market’s leading 94-95°F bin (40% implied probability) and nearby 92-93°F and 96-97°F outcomes (23% each), as typical late-summer heating plus modest cloud cover and seabreeze influences keep temperatures near or slightly above the 93.4°F climatological average. Recent model runs have shown limited spread, with only low odds assigned to 98°F+ or sub-92°F results given the absence of stronger frontal boundaries or widespread convection that could suppress the daily maximum. Updated NWS forecasts and afternoon observations tomorrow will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,703終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin shows a hot, mostly sunny start on September 6 with southerly flow and dew points in the mid-70s, supporting afternoon highs in the mid- to upper 90s before any isolated thunderstorms develop. This setup aligns with the market’s leading 94-95°F bin (40% implied probability) and nearby 92-93°F and 96-97°F outcomes (23% each), as typical late-summer heating plus modest cloud cover and seabreeze influences keep temperatures near or slightly above the 93.4°F climatological average. Recent model runs have shown limited spread, with only low odds assigned to 98°F+ or sub-92°F results given the absence of stronger frontal boundaries or widespread convection that could suppress the daily maximum. Updated NWS forecasts and afternoon observations tomorrow will provide the final resolution data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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