Recent model consensus and official forecasts from Argentina’s meteorological service point to a highest temperature of 9–10 °C in Buenos Aires on July 3, 2026, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A mild high-pressure ridge and light easterly flow off the Atlantic are limiting daytime heating while preventing stronger southerly cold-air advection typical of winter outbreaks. Clear to partly cloudy skies should allow modest solar warming, yet the short daylight period and seasonal climatology keep maxima well below the July average of 14–15 °C. Small differences among 9 °C, 10 °C, and 11 °C hinge on exact cloud timing and any late-day wind shift; updated runs from global models will refine these thresholds before resolution. Traders are weighting the most probable range while leaving modest probability for modest model spread.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 3?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 3?
10°C 98.2%
11°C <1%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
$57,781 Vol.
$57,781 Vol.
2026/07/03
3°C or below
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
98%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C or higher
<1%
10°C 98.2%
11°C <1%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
$57,781 Vol.
$57,781 Vol.
2026/07/03
3°C or below
$4,115 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$3,519 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$2,729 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$3,606 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$5,951 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$3,722 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$6,981 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$8,690 Vol.
98%
11°C
$6,055 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$6,624 Vol.
<1%
13°C or higher
$5,790 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and official forecasts from Argentina’s meteorological service point to a highest temperature of 9–10 °C in Buenos Aires on July 3, 2026, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A mild high-pressure ridge and light easterly flow off the Atlantic are limiting daytime heating while preventing stronger southerly cold-air advection typical of winter outbreaks. Clear to partly cloudy skies should allow modest solar warming, yet the short daylight period and seasonal climatology keep maxima well below the July average of 14–15 °C. Small differences among 9 °C, 10 °C, and 11 °C hinge on exact cloud timing and any late-day wind shift; updated runs from global models will refine these thresholds before resolution. Traders are weighting the most probable range while leaving modest probability for modest model spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 1, 2026, 10:01 PM ET
音量
$57,781終了日
2026/07/03マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 10:01 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and official forecasts from Argentina’s meteorological service point to a highest temperature of 9–10 °C in Buenos Aires on July 3, 2026, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A mild high-pressure ridge and light easterly flow off the Atlantic are limiting daytime heating while preventing stronger southerly cold-air advection typical of winter outbreaks. Clear to partly cloudy skies should allow modest solar warming, yet the short daylight period and seasonal climatology keep maxima well below the July average of 14–15 °C. Small differences among 9 °C, 10 °C, and 11 °C hinge on exact cloud timing and any late-day wind shift; updated runs from global models will refine these thresholds before resolution. Traders are weighting the most probable range while leaving modest probability for modest model spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$57,781終了日
2026/07/03マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 10:01 PM ETRecent model consensus and official forecasts from Argentina’s meteorological service point to a highest temperature of 9–10 °C in Buenos Aires on July 3, 2026, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A mild high-pressure ridge and light easterly flow off the Atlantic are limiting daytime heating while preventing stronger southerly cold-air advection typical of winter outbreaks. Clear to partly cloudy skies should allow modest solar warming, yet the short daylight period and seasonal climatology keep maxima well below the July average of 14–15 °C. Small differences among 9 °C, 10 °C, and 11 °C hinge on exact cloud timing and any late-day wind shift; updated runs from global models will refine these thresholds before resolution. Traders are weighting the most probable range while leaving modest probability for modest model spread.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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