Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Dallas highs near 96–98°F on July 3 under mostly sunny skies and typical summer southerly flow, aligning with the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 40% implied probability. Seasonal norms for early July in north Texas feature daily maxima climbing from 93°F to 96°F, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to suppress temperatures below the mid-90s or push them into triple digits absent a stronger ridge. Recent model runs show minor spread between 94°F and 99°F depending on boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts, keeping the 94–95°F and 98–99°F outcomes as secondary probabilities while rendering extremes below 92°F or above 100°F unlikely without rapid pattern changes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Dallas on July 3?
Highest temperature in Dallas on July 3?
96-97°F 70%
98-99°F 16%
100-101°F 9.2%
94-95°F 7%
$61,309 Vol.
$61,309 Vol.
2026/07/03
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
70%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
9%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 70%
98-99°F 16%
100-101°F 9.2%
94-95°F 7%
$61,309 Vol.
$61,309 Vol.
2026/07/03
91°F or below
$9,798 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$4,821 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$7,440 Vol.
7%
96-97°F
$15,854 Vol.
70%
98-99°F
$4,574 Vol.
16%
100-101°F
$2,853 Vol.
9%
102-103°F
$3,355 Vol.
1%
104-105°F
$6,155 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$2,298 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$1,521 Vol.
<1%
110°F or higher
$2,770 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Dallas highs near 96–98°F on July 3 under mostly sunny skies and typical summer southerly flow, aligning with the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 40% implied probability. Seasonal norms for early July in north Texas feature daily maxima climbing from 93°F to 96°F, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to suppress temperatures below the mid-90s or push them into triple digits absent a stronger ridge. Recent model runs show minor spread between 94°F and 99°F depending on boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts, keeping the 94–95°F and 98–99°F outcomes as secondary probabilities while rendering extremes below 92°F or above 100°F unlikely without rapid pattern changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
音量
$61,309終了日
2026/07/03マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Dallas highs near 96–98°F on July 3 under mostly sunny skies and typical summer southerly flow, aligning with the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 40% implied probability. Seasonal norms for early July in north Texas feature daily maxima climbing from 93°F to 96°F, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to suppress temperatures below the mid-90s or push them into triple digits absent a stronger ridge. Recent model runs show minor spread between 94°F and 99°F depending on boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts, keeping the 94–95°F and 98–99°F outcomes as secondary probabilities while rendering extremes below 92°F or above 100°F unlikely without rapid pattern changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$61,309終了日
2026/07/03マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Dallas highs near 96–98°F on July 3 under mostly sunny skies and typical summer southerly flow, aligning with the market’s leading 96–97°F bin at 40% implied probability. Seasonal norms for early July in north Texas feature daily maxima climbing from 93°F to 96°F, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to suppress temperatures below the mid-90s or push them into triple digits absent a stronger ridge. Recent model runs show minor spread between 94°F and 99°F depending on boundary-layer moisture and wind shifts, keeping the 94–95°F and 98–99°F outcomes as secondary probabilities while rendering extremes below 92°F or above 100°F unlikely without rapid pattern changes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問