Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources, including local Sichuan updates and international models, centers on a daily high of 26°C in Chengdu on October 3 amid cloudy conditions with light rain and weak winds under 10 km/h. This aligns with observed temperatures reaching the mid-20s Celsius during peak afternoon hours, consistent with early October climatology for the Sichuan basin where highs typically range 23–27°C. Minor model spreads exist around precipitation timing and localized cooling, yet none support deviation beyond the 26°C threshold. Real-time station data or final NHC-equivalent verification would be needed to alter the market-implied outcome, though current atmospheric stability makes significant shifts unlikely before resolution.
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