Persistent high pressure and a strong heat dome over the Southern Plains have driven above-normal temperatures across North Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for sunny skies and a high near 101°F in Dallas on August 7. This aligns with the market's leading 100-101°F bin at 49.5% implied probability, reflecting climatological averages near 99°F and limited cloud cover or moisture that would otherwise moderate daytime maxima. Recent model consensus shows minimal cooling from prior upper-90s readings, though slight model spread around steering patterns supports the secondary 98-99°F probability at 32.5%. Official observations from nearby stations will determine resolution based on the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月7日のダラスの最高気温は?
100-101°F 50%
98-99°F 33%
102-103°F 14%
96-97°F 7%
$18,327 Vol.
$18,327 Vol.
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
33%
100-101°F
50%
102-103°F
14%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 50%
98-99°F 33%
102-103°F 14%
96-97°F 7%
$18,327 Vol.
$18,327 Vol.
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
33%
100-101°F
50%
102-103°F
14%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent high pressure and a strong heat dome over the Southern Plains have driven above-normal temperatures across North Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for sunny skies and a high near 101°F in Dallas on August 7. This aligns with the market's leading 100-101°F bin at 49.5% implied probability, reflecting climatological averages near 99°F and limited cloud cover or moisture that would otherwise moderate daytime maxima. Recent model consensus shows minimal cooling from prior upper-90s readings, though slight model spread around steering patterns supports the secondary 98-99°F probability at 32.5%. Official observations from nearby stations will determine resolution based on the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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