Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate mainly cloudy conditions with a few showers and brief sunshine on September 6, supporting a daytime high range of 26–30°C amid light winds and moderate humidity. Ensemble model guidance shows slight upward bias toward 31°C in some runs due to localized heating during any clearer intervals, while persistent cloud cover and scattered precipitation keep probabilities for 32°C or higher lower. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow spread around 30–31°C, consistent with September climatology and the influence of a broad cloud band over southern China. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing represent key near-term data points that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日の香港の最高気温は？
9月6日の香港の最高気温は？
31℃ 39%
30℃ 26%
32℃ 21%
29°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
25°C以下
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30℃
26%
31℃
39%
32℃
21%
33℃
6%
34℃
1%
35℃以上
<1%
31℃ 39%
30℃ 26%
32℃ 21%
29°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
25°C以下
$245 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$125 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$122 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$444 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,650 Vol.
8%
30℃
$575 Vol.
26%
31℃
$489 Vol.
39%
32℃
$1,381 Vol.
21%
33℃
$179 Vol.
6%
34℃
$88 Vol.
1%
35℃以上
$59 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate mainly cloudy conditions with a few showers and brief sunshine on September 6, supporting a daytime high range of 26–30°C amid light winds and moderate humidity. Ensemble model guidance shows slight upward bias toward 31°C in some runs due to localized heating during any clearer intervals, while persistent cloud cover and scattered precipitation keep probabilities for 32°C or higher lower. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow spread around 30–31°C, consistent with September climatology and the influence of a broad cloud band over southern China. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing represent key near-term data points that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$5,358終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate mainly cloudy conditions with a few showers and brief sunshine on September 6, supporting a daytime high range of 26–30°C amid light winds and moderate humidity. Ensemble model guidance shows slight upward bias toward 31°C in some runs due to localized heating during any clearer intervals, while persistent cloud cover and scattered precipitation keep probabilities for 32°C or higher lower. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow spread around 30–31°C, consistent with September climatology and the influence of a broad cloud band over southern China. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing represent key near-term data points that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$5,358終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate mainly cloudy conditions with a few showers and brief sunshine on September 6, supporting a daytime high range of 26–30°C amid light winds and moderate humidity. Ensemble model guidance shows slight upward bias toward 31°C in some runs due to localized heating during any clearer intervals, while persistent cloud cover and scattered precipitation keep probabilities for 32°C or higher lower. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow spread around 30–31°C, consistent with September climatology and the influence of a broad cloud band over southern China. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing represent key near-term data points that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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