Latest Met Office guidance forecasts a maximum of 27°C for London on July 4 under building high pressure and a southerly airflow, while ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS show a tight cluster around 26–29°C with modest uncertainty from cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. The 27°C and 28°C outcomes lead because modest insolation and light winds favor peak readings near the seasonal July average of 22–23°C, offset by recent warming trends after June’s heatwave. Differentiation among these bins hinges on small variations in 850 hPa temperatures, urban heat-island enhancement at official sites, and any late-afternoon sea-breeze effects that could cap readings at 26°C or allow brief spikes toward 29°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in London on July 4?
Highest temperature in London on July 4?
28°C 37%
29°C 29%
27°C 20%
26°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/07/04
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
9%
27°C
20%
28°C
37%
29°C
29%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 37%
29°C 29%
27°C 20%
26°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/07/04
23°C or below
$626 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$149 Vol.
1%
25°C
$301 Vol.
3%
26°C
$247 Vol.
9%
27°C
$861 Vol.
20%
28°C
$532 Vol.
37%
29°C
$286 Vol.
29%
30°C
$288 Vol.
8%
31°C
$125 Vol.
2%
32°C
$233 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$460 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance forecasts a maximum of 27°C for London on July 4 under building high pressure and a southerly airflow, while ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS show a tight cluster around 26–29°C with modest uncertainty from cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. The 27°C and 28°C outcomes lead because modest insolation and light winds favor peak readings near the seasonal July average of 22–23°C, offset by recent warming trends after June’s heatwave. Differentiation among these bins hinges on small variations in 850 hPa temperatures, urban heat-island enhancement at official sites, and any late-afternoon sea-breeze effects that could cap readings at 26°C or allow brief spikes toward 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 2, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
音量
$4,109終了日
2026/07/04マーケット開始日
Jul 2, 2026, 1:01 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance forecasts a maximum of 27°C for London on July 4 under building high pressure and a southerly airflow, while ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS show a tight cluster around 26–29°C with modest uncertainty from cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. The 27°C and 28°C outcomes lead because modest insolation and light winds favor peak readings near the seasonal July average of 22–23°C, offset by recent warming trends after June’s heatwave. Differentiation among these bins hinges on small variations in 850 hPa temperatures, urban heat-island enhancement at official sites, and any late-afternoon sea-breeze effects that could cap readings at 26°C or allow brief spikes toward 29°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4,109終了日
2026/07/04マーケット開始日
Jul 2, 2026, 1:01 AM ETLatest Met Office guidance forecasts a maximum of 27°C for London on July 4 under building high pressure and a southerly airflow, while ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS show a tight cluster around 26–29°C with modest uncertainty from cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. The 27°C and 28°C outcomes lead because modest insolation and light winds favor peak readings near the seasonal July average of 22–23°C, offset by recent warming trends after June’s heatwave. Differentiation among these bins hinges on small variations in 850 hPa temperatures, urban heat-island enhancement at official sites, and any late-afternoon sea-breeze effects that could cap readings at 26°C or allow brief spikes toward 29°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問