**Forecasts from the National Weather Service place Miami's July 8 high near 91–92°F**, aligning with the market's leading 92–93°F (44%) and 90–91°F (29.5%) contracts that together imply roughly 74% probability for that narrow band. Typical midsummer conditions feature a southeasterly flow, high humidity, and afternoon sea-breeze thunderstorms that frequently cap daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 90s; recent model runs and climatological averages (around 89°F) support this range while allowing modest upside if convection is delayed or suppressed. A mentioned tropical disturbance could enhance cloud cover and rainfall, further limiting temperatures below 94°F, consistent with the low single-digit probabilities assigned to 94°F+. Traders are weighting the balance between seasonal warmth and convective moderation ahead of final observations at Miami International Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Miami on July 8?
92-93°F 51%
90-91°F 24%
94-95°F 10.6%
88-89°F 4.0%
$18,586 Vol.
$18,586 Vol.
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
24%
92-93°F
51%
94-95°F
11%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 51%
90-91°F 24%
94-95°F 10.6%
88-89°F 4.0%
$18,586 Vol.
$18,586 Vol.
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
24%
92-93°F
51%
94-95°F
11%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecasts from the National Weather Service place Miami's July 8 high near 91–92°F**, aligning with the market's leading 92–93°F (44%) and 90–91°F (29.5%) contracts that together imply roughly 74% probability for that narrow band. Typical midsummer conditions feature a southeasterly flow, high humidity, and afternoon sea-breeze thunderstorms that frequently cap daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 90s; recent model runs and climatological averages (around 89°F) support this range while allowing modest upside if convection is delayed or suppressed. A mentioned tropical disturbance could enhance cloud cover and rainfall, further limiting temperatures below 94°F, consistent with the low single-digit probabilities assigned to 94°F+. Traders are weighting the balance between seasonal warmth and convective moderation ahead of final observations at Miami International Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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