Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models highlight a warm southerly flow under high pressure over southern Germany, favoring daytime maxima near 34–35 °C in Munich on August 3 amid mostly clear skies and light winds that enhance surface heating. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 34–35 °C, where traders weigh the potential for isolated late-day cloud build-up or brief showers to cap temperatures slightly lower versus sustained insolation pushing readings higher. Historical August baselines in Munich average 24–26 °C highs, underscoring the anomalous warmth from this synoptic pattern. Updated model runs and official DWD briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact peak and shift implied probabilities accordingly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月3日のミュンヘンの最高気温は？
8月3日のミュンヘンの最高気温は？
35°C 37%
34°C 28%
36°C 19%
33°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/03
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
8%
34°C
28%
35°C
37%
36°C
19%
37°C or higher
6%
35°C 37%
34°C 28%
36°C 19%
33°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/03
27°C or below
$400 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$10 Vol.
2%
30°C
$60 Vol.
2%
31°C
$86 Vol.
2%
32°C
$0 Vol.
5%
33°C
$0 Vol.
8%
34°C
$1,810 Vol.
28%
35°C
$107 Vol.
37%
36°C
$190 Vol.
19%
37°C or higher
$77 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models highlight a warm southerly flow under high pressure over southern Germany, favoring daytime maxima near 34–35 °C in Munich on August 3 amid mostly clear skies and light winds that enhance surface heating. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 34–35 °C, where traders weigh the potential for isolated late-day cloud build-up or brief showers to cap temperatures slightly lower versus sustained insolation pushing readings higher. Historical August baselines in Munich average 24–26 °C highs, underscoring the anomalous warmth from this synoptic pattern. Updated model runs and official DWD briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact peak and shift implied probabilities accordingly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$2,740終了日
2026/08/03マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models highlight a warm southerly flow under high pressure over southern Germany, favoring daytime maxima near 34–35 °C in Munich on August 3 amid mostly clear skies and light winds that enhance surface heating. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 34–35 °C, where traders weigh the potential for isolated late-day cloud build-up or brief showers to cap temperatures slightly lower versus sustained insolation pushing readings higher. Historical August baselines in Munich average 24–26 °C highs, underscoring the anomalous warmth from this synoptic pattern. Updated model runs and official DWD briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact peak and shift implied probabilities accordingly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,740終了日
2026/08/03マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models highlight a warm southerly flow under high pressure over southern Germany, favoring daytime maxima near 34–35 °C in Munich on August 3 amid mostly clear skies and light winds that enhance surface heating. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 34–35 °C, where traders weigh the potential for isolated late-day cloud build-up or brief showers to cap temperatures slightly lower versus sustained insolation pushing readings higher. Historical August baselines in Munich average 24–26 °C highs, underscoring the anomalous warmth from this synoptic pattern. Updated model runs and official DWD briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact peak and shift implied probabilities accordingly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問