In Panama City's rainy season, frequent afternoon convection, high humidity near 80-90%, and variable cloud cover are the dominant factors capping daytime maxima, with the market-implied odds favoring 32–33°C as the most probable outcomes. These temperatures sit modestly above the long-term August average of 29°C, reflecting brief windows of stronger solar heating before typical thunderstorms develop. Key differentiators between 32°C and 33°C include the precise timing and intensity of sea-breeze convergence, upper-level wind shear influencing convective initiation, and any overnight moisture anomalies that alter the boundary-layer energy available for daytime warming. Official forecasts from regional models will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月2日のパナマシティの最高気温は?
33°C 40%
32°C 36%
31℃ 17%
30℃ 4%
27℃以下
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30℃
4%
31℃
17%
32°C
36%
33°C
40%
34℃
4%
35℃
2%
36℃
1%
37°C以上
1%
33°C 40%
32°C 36%
31℃ 17%
30℃ 4%
27℃以下
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30℃
4%
31℃
17%
32°C
36%
33°C
40%
34℃
4%
35℃
2%
36℃
1%
37°C以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
In Panama City's rainy season, frequent afternoon convection, high humidity near 80-90%, and variable cloud cover are the dominant factors capping daytime maxima, with the market-implied odds favoring 32–33°C as the most probable outcomes. These temperatures sit modestly above the long-term August average of 29°C, reflecting brief windows of stronger solar heating before typical thunderstorms develop. Key differentiators between 32°C and 33°C include the precise timing and intensity of sea-breeze convergence, upper-level wind shear influencing convective initiation, and any overnight moisture anomalies that alter the boundary-layer energy available for daytime warming. Official forecasts from regional models will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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