Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather place Panama City’s July highs in a 28–33°C range, with an average near 30–31°C amid the wet season’s typical mix of cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers. These conditions position 32°C and 33°C as leading outcomes because intermittent breaks in cloudiness can allow peak readings 1–2°C above the daily average without triggering widespread rain that would suppress temperatures. Traders’ emphasis on 32°C reflects model consensus for moderate convection on July 26 rather than extreme clear skies or heavy rainfall, while lower probabilities for 34°C+ or sub-30°C outcomes align with historical July variability and the limited window for significant deviations one day ahead. Updated short-range guidance and any late adjustments to moisture or wind patterns could refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月26日のパナマシティの最高気温は?
32℃ 37%
33℃ 24%
31℃ 20%
30°C 11%
26℃以下
<1%
27℃
2%
28°C
2%
29℃
5%
30°C
11%
31℃
20%
32℃
37%
33℃
24%
34°C
5%
35°C
7%
36°C以上
2%
32℃ 37%
33℃ 24%
31℃ 20%
30°C 11%
26℃以下
<1%
27℃
2%
28°C
2%
29℃
5%
30°C
11%
31℃
20%
32℃
37%
33℃
24%
34°C
5%
35°C
7%
36°C以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 24, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather place Panama City’s July highs in a 28–33°C range, with an average near 30–31°C amid the wet season’s typical mix of cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers. These conditions position 32°C and 33°C as leading outcomes because intermittent breaks in cloudiness can allow peak readings 1–2°C above the daily average without triggering widespread rain that would suppress temperatures. Traders’ emphasis on 32°C reflects model consensus for moderate convection on July 26 rather than extreme clear skies or heavy rainfall, while lower probabilities for 34°C+ or sub-30°C outcomes align with historical July variability and the limited window for significant deviations one day ahead. Updated short-range guidance and any late adjustments to moisture or wind patterns could refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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