Current short-term forecasts for Wellington indicate a maximum of 11–12°C on July 25, aligning with the market’s leading 12°C outcome at 48.5% implied probability. Typical mid-winter conditions prevail, with average July highs near 12°C, supported by NIWA’s May–July outlook favoring near- or below-average temperatures amid possible cold southerly flows. Wellington’s exposed coastal location and frequent strong winds can produce rapid diurnal shifts or brief warming, keeping 13°C as a close second at 36%. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours from MetService or NIWA will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月25日のウェリントンの最高気温は?
12°C 50%
13°C 28%
11°C 20%
14°C 6%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
20%
12°C
50%
13°C
28%
14°C
6%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 50%
13°C 28%
11°C 20%
14°C 6%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
20%
12°C
50%
13°C
28%
14°C
6%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current short-term forecasts for Wellington indicate a maximum of 11–12°C on July 25, aligning with the market’s leading 12°C outcome at 48.5% implied probability. Typical mid-winter conditions prevail, with average July highs near 12°C, supported by NIWA’s May–July outlook favoring near- or below-average temperatures amid possible cold southerly flows. Wellington’s exposed coastal location and frequent strong winds can produce rapid diurnal shifts or brief warming, keeping 13°C as a close second at 36%. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours from MetService or NIWA will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問