Singapore's equatorial climate keeps typical July daily maxima near 31–33°C under southwest monsoon flow, with afternoon thundery showers and variable cloud cover the main controls on peak temperature. Recent NEA guidance highlights localized convective activity that can cap highs near 31°C on overcast days while allowing brief clears to reach 32–34°C; any strengthening El Niño signal adds a modest warming bias through reduced rainfall. With only 48 hours until July 23, traders weigh the latest high-resolution model runs on boundary-layer moisture and timing of Sumatra squalls, which explain why implied odds cluster tightly around 30–32°C rather than extremes. Updated forecasts from MSS and global ensembles will likely shift probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月23日のシンガポールの最高気温は?
31°C 46%
32°C 34%
30°C 15%
33°C 8%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
46%
32°C
34%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 46%
32°C 34%
30°C 15%
33°C 8%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
46%
32°C
34%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Singapore's equatorial climate keeps typical July daily maxima near 31–33°C under southwest monsoon flow, with afternoon thundery showers and variable cloud cover the main controls on peak temperature. Recent NEA guidance highlights localized convective activity that can cap highs near 31°C on overcast days while allowing brief clears to reach 32–34°C; any strengthening El Niño signal adds a modest warming bias through reduced rainfall. With only 48 hours until July 23, traders weigh the latest high-resolution model runs on boundary-layer moisture and timing of Sumatra squalls, which explain why implied odds cluster tightly around 30–32°C rather than extremes. Updated forecasts from MSS and global ensembles will likely shift probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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