Recent southwest monsoon conditions over Singapore, with prevailing southeasterly winds and variable afternoon thundery showers, underpin the tight market-implied odds favoring 30°C or 31°C highs on July 25. These outcomes reflect trader assessment of typical July climatology—average daily maxima near 31°C—tempered by uncertainty over localized cloud cover and rainfall that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Drier intervals may allow brief exceedances toward 33°C, but official outlooks emphasize short-duration convection limiting sustained heat. Model consensus shows modest variability in steering patterns and humidity levels, with resolution hinging on precise observational maxima recorded by the National Environment Agency network.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月25日のシンガポールの最高気温は?
30°C 34%
31°C 30%
29°C 25%
32°C 13%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
25%
30°C
34%
31°C
30%
32°C
13%
33°C
10%
34°C or higher
3%
30°C 34%
31°C 30%
29°C 25%
32°C 13%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
25%
30°C
34%
31°C
30%
32°C
13%
33°C
10%
34°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent southwest monsoon conditions over Singapore, with prevailing southeasterly winds and variable afternoon thundery showers, underpin the tight market-implied odds favoring 30°C or 31°C highs on July 25. These outcomes reflect trader assessment of typical July climatology—average daily maxima near 31°C—tempered by uncertainty over localized cloud cover and rainfall that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Drier intervals may allow brief exceedances toward 33°C, but official outlooks emphasize short-duration convection limiting sustained heat. Model consensus shows modest variability in steering patterns and humidity levels, with resolution hinging on precise observational maxima recorded by the National Environment Agency network.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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