Recent heavy monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover across the Korean Peninsula are suppressing daytime heating and anchoring Seoul’s July 9 maximum near 26–27 °C, as shown in the latest KMA and global model consensus. Overcast skies and widespread showers limit surface insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping boundary-layer temperatures below typical midsummer peaks. Modest uncertainty remains around the exact timing and intensity of convection, which could allow brief clearing and a 28 °C spike or prolong rain to cap readings at 25–26 °C. Historical July climatology places average highs near 28–29 °C, but the current wet pattern deviates from that baseline and aligns with the market’s tight clustering around the leading outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts and next KMA briefing will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Seoul on July 9?
26°C 36%
27°C 29%
25°C 20%
28°C 10%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
20%
26°C
36%
27°C
29%
28°C
10%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 36%
27°C 29%
25°C 20%
28°C 10%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
20%
26°C
36%
27°C
29%
28°C
10%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent heavy monsoon rainfall and persistent cloud cover across the Korean Peninsula are suppressing daytime heating and anchoring Seoul’s July 9 maximum near 26–27 °C, as shown in the latest KMA and global model consensus. Overcast skies and widespread showers limit surface insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping boundary-layer temperatures below typical midsummer peaks. Modest uncertainty remains around the exact timing and intensity of convection, which could allow brief clearing and a 28 °C spike or prolong rain to cap readings at 25–26 °C. Historical July climatology places average highs near 28–29 °C, but the current wet pattern deviates from that baseline and aligns with the market’s tight clustering around the leading outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts and next KMA briefing will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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