Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international models indicate a high of 30–31°C for Taipei on September 23, driven by easterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and typical late-September subtropical conditions with moderate humidity. This consensus supports the market's leading outcomes at 32°C (51%) and 33°C (26%), as slight upward model revisions or localized urban heating could push readings into the low 30s. Historical September averages near 30–32°C provide context, while stable steering patterns reduce the chance of cooler or extreme values reflected in the lower-priced tails. Updated model runs and CWA briefings in the next 48 hours represent key data points that could refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月23日の台北の最高気温は?
32℃ 51%
33°C 26%
31℃ 21%
34℃ 4%
26°C以下
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29℃
2%
30℃
2%
31℃
21%
32℃
51%
33°C
26%
34℃
4%
35℃
2%
36℃以上
2%
32℃ 51%
33°C 26%
31℃ 21%
34℃ 4%
26°C以下
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29℃
2%
30℃
2%
31℃
21%
32℃
51%
33°C
26%
34℃
4%
35℃
2%
36℃以上
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international models indicate a high of 30–31°C for Taipei on September 23, driven by easterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and typical late-September subtropical conditions with moderate humidity. This consensus supports the market's leading outcomes at 32°C (51%) and 33°C (26%), as slight upward model revisions or localized urban heating could push readings into the low 30s. Historical September averages near 30–32°C provide context, while stable steering patterns reduce the chance of cooler or extreme values reflected in the lower-priced tails. Updated model runs and CWA briefings in the next 48 hours represent key data points that could refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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