Current forecasts for Wuhan on August 3 project daily maxima near 35–36°C under subtropical monsoon conditions, with market odds clustered around 36°C and 37°C reflecting uncertainty in afternoon convective activity. In this region, peak temperatures hinge on solar insolation, boundary-layer moisture, and the timing of any thundery showers that can cap heating by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent model runs show a stable ridge with moderate instability, where small shifts in precipitation timing or wind could easily differentiate outcomes between 35°C and 38°C. Historical August averages near 34°C provide context, but urban heat effects and humidity levels near 70–80% amplify sensitivity to these variables ahead of final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月3日の武漢の最高気温は?
36℃ 34%
37°C 31%
38℃ 20%
35℃ 11%
31℃以下
<1%
32°C
3%
33℃
8%
34°C
8%
35℃
11%
36℃
34%
37°C
31%
38℃
27%
39℃
5%
40℃
2%
41℃以上
2%
36℃ 34%
37°C 31%
38℃ 20%
35℃ 11%
31℃以下
<1%
32°C
3%
33℃
8%
34°C
8%
35℃
11%
36℃
34%
37°C
31%
38℃
27%
39℃
5%
40℃
2%
41℃以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts for Wuhan on August 3 project daily maxima near 35–36°C under subtropical monsoon conditions, with market odds clustered around 36°C and 37°C reflecting uncertainty in afternoon convective activity. In this region, peak temperatures hinge on solar insolation, boundary-layer moisture, and the timing of any thundery showers that can cap heating by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent model runs show a stable ridge with moderate instability, where small shifts in precipitation timing or wind could easily differentiate outcomes between 35°C and 38°C. Historical August averages near 34°C provide context, but urban heat effects and humidity levels near 70–80% amplify sensitivity to these variables ahead of final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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