Elevated global seismic activity in mid-August 2026, including a magnitude 7.4 event in Colombia on August 10 and a 7.7 quake near Indonesia on August 14, has driven the strong market-implied probability (79%) for more than 13 magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes during the August 10–16 window. USGS and related monitoring data indicate multiple additional M5+ events clustered along tectonic margins like the Ring of Fire, exceeding typical weekly baselines of roughly 10–15 such quakes worldwide. With only one day remaining and recent 24-hour counts dipping to zero M5+ on August 14, traders appear to weigh the likelihood of at least a few more moderate events before resolution against the already accumulated total.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月10日～ 8月16日の5.5級以上の地震は何回ありますか？
8月10日～ 8月16日の5.5級以上の地震は何回ありますか？
>13 82.8%
13 12.0%
9 1.9%
6以下 <1%
$33,357 Vol.
$33,357 Vol.
2026/08/09
6以下
1%
7
<1%
8
<1%
9
2%
10
<1%
11
1%
12
<1%
13
12%
>13
83%
>13 82.8%
13 12.0%
9 1.9%
6以下 <1%
$33,357 Vol.
$33,357 Vol.
2026/08/09
6以下
$7,718 Vol.
1%
7
$1,403 Vol.
<1%
8
$1,087 Vol.
<1%
9
$1,026 Vol.
2%
10
$1,346 Vol.
<1%
11
$1,950 Vol.
1%
12
$3,130 Vol.
<1%
13
$2,082 Vol.
12%
>13
$13,615 Vol.
83%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Elevated global seismic activity in mid-August 2026, including a magnitude 7.4 event in Colombia on August 10 and a 7.7 quake near Indonesia on August 14, has driven the strong market-implied probability (79%) for more than 13 magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes during the August 10–16 window. USGS and related monitoring data indicate multiple additional M5+ events clustered along tectonic margins like the Ring of Fire, exceeding typical weekly baselines of roughly 10–15 such quakes worldwide. With only one day remaining and recent 24-hour counts dipping to zero M5+ on August 14, traders appear to weigh the likelihood of at least a few more moderate events before resolution against the already accumulated total.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
マーケット開始日： Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ET
音量
$33,357終了日
2026/08/17マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Elevated global seismic activity in mid-August 2026, including a magnitude 7.4 event in Colombia on August 10 and a 7.7 quake near Indonesia on August 14, has driven the strong market-implied probability (79%) for more than 13 magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes during the August 10–16 window. USGS and related monitoring data indicate multiple additional M5+ events clustered along tectonic margins like the Ring of Fire, exceeding typical weekly baselines of roughly 10–15 such quakes worldwide. With only one day remaining and recent 24-hour counts dipping to zero M5+ on August 14, traders appear to weigh the likelihood of at least a few more moderate events before resolution against the already accumulated total.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
音量
$33,357終了日
2026/08/17マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ETElevated global seismic activity in mid-August 2026, including a magnitude 7.4 event in Colombia on August 10 and a 7.7 quake near Indonesia on August 14, has driven the strong market-implied probability (79%) for more than 13 magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes during the August 10–16 window. USGS and related monitoring data indicate multiple additional M5+ events clustered along tectonic margins like the Ring of Fire, exceeding typical weekly baselines of roughly 10–15 such quakes worldwide. With only one day remaining and recent 24-hour counts dipping to zero M5+ on August 14, traders appear to weigh the likelihood of at least a few more moderate events before resolution against the already accumulated total.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問