**USGS seismic monitoring has confirmed exactly three earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or greater worldwide between August 10 and 16, 2026, producing the market's 100% consensus for that outcome.** The events include a magnitude 7.4 quake in Colombia's Chocó region on or around August 10–12, a magnitude 7.7 event offshore Indonesia near Ende on August 14, and a magnitude 6.9 aftershock or related shock in the same Indonesian region on August 16. These align with typical global background rates of roughly 15–20 magnitude 6.5+ quakes per year and expected clustering along subduction zones in the Pacific Ring of Fire. With the observation window now closed and official catalogs finalizing, traders see negligible chance of additional qualifying events. Only unreported late aftershocks or a delayed catalog revision could realistically alter the count, though current observational data make that outcome highly improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月10日～ 8月16日の6.5級以上の地震は何回ありますか？
8月10日～ 8月16日の6.5級以上の地震は何回ありますか？
3 100.0%
0 <1%
1 <1%
2 <1%
$38,514 Vol.
$38,514 Vol.
2026/08/10
0
いいえ
1
いいえ
2
いいえ
3
はい
4
いいえ
5
いいえ
>5
いいえ
3 100.0%
0 <1%
1 <1%
2 <1%
$38,514 Vol.
$38,514 Vol.
2026/08/10
0
$11,993 Vol.
いいえ
1
$6,814 Vol.
いいえ
2
$6,885 Vol.
いいえ
3
$6,762 Vol.
はい
4
$2,289 Vol.
いいえ
5
$1,040 Vol.
いいえ
>5
$2,731 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.**USGS seismic monitoring has confirmed exactly three earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or greater worldwide between August 10 and 16, 2026, producing the market's 100% consensus for that outcome.** The events include a magnitude 7.4 quake in Colombia's Chocó region on or around August 10–12, a magnitude 7.7 event offshore Indonesia near Ende on August 14, and a magnitude 6.9 aftershock or related shock in the same Indonesian region on August 16. These align with typical global background rates of roughly 15–20 magnitude 6.5+ quakes per year and expected clustering along subduction zones in the Pacific Ring of Fire. With the observation window now closed and official catalogs finalizing, traders see negligible chance of additional qualifying events. Only unreported late aftershocks or a delayed catalog revision could realistically alter the count, though current observational data make that outcome highly improbable.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
マーケット開始日： Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ET
音量
$38,514終了日
2026/08/17マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.**USGS seismic monitoring has confirmed exactly three earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or greater worldwide between August 10 and 16, 2026, producing the market's 100% consensus for that outcome.** The events include a magnitude 7.4 quake in Colombia's Chocó region on or around August 10–12, a magnitude 7.7 event offshore Indonesia near Ende on August 14, and a magnitude 6.9 aftershock or related shock in the same Indonesian region on August 16. These align with typical global background rates of roughly 15–20 magnitude 6.5+ quakes per year and expected clustering along subduction zones in the Pacific Ring of Fire. With the observation window now closed and official catalogs finalizing, traders see negligible chance of additional qualifying events. Only unreported late aftershocks or a delayed catalog revision could realistically alter the count, though current observational data make that outcome highly improbable.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
音量
$38,514終了日
2026/08/17マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
**USGS seismic monitoring has confirmed exactly three earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or greater worldwide between August 10 and 16, 2026, producing the market's 100% consensus for that outcome.** The events include a magnitude 7.4 quake in Colombia's Chocó region on or around August 10–12, a magnitude 7.7 event offshore Indonesia near Ende on August 14, and a magnitude 6.9 aftershock or related shock in the same Indonesian region on August 16. These align with typical global background rates of roughly 15–20 magnitude 6.5+ quakes per year and expected clustering along subduction zones in the Pacific Ring of Fire. With the observation window now closed and official catalogs finalizing, traders see negligible chance of additional qualifying events. Only unreported late aftershocks or a delayed catalog revision could realistically alter the count, though current observational data make that outcome highly improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問