Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election project Likud securing roughly 22 seats, well below its 32-seat total from 2022, reflecting sustained erosion of support tied to the inconclusive wars in Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran since 2023. Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party consistently leads or ties Likud in surveys, while Netanyahu’s coalition bloc hovers near or below the 61-seat majority threshold amid backlash over ultra-Orthodox draft exemptions and coalition partners. These trends, stable across multiple pollsters in September 2026, underpin trader consensus on seat losses for the incumbent party despite occasional bloc-level fluctuations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日90% 確率
$18,302 Vol.
$18,302 Vol.
2027/06/30
90% 確率
$18,302 Vol.
$18,302 Vol.
2027/06/30
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election project Likud securing roughly 22 seats, well below its 32-seat total from 2022, reflecting sustained erosion of support tied to the inconclusive wars in Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran since 2023. Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party consistently leads or ties Likud in surveys, while Netanyahu’s coalition bloc hovers near or below the 61-seat majority threshold amid backlash over ultra-Orthodox draft exemptions and coalition partners. These trends, stable across multiple pollsters in September 2026, underpin trader consensus on seat losses for the incumbent party despite occasional bloc-level fluctuations.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
マーケット開始日： Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
音量
$18,302終了日
2027/07/01マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election project Likud securing roughly 22 seats, well below its 32-seat total from 2022, reflecting sustained erosion of support tied to the inconclusive wars in Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran since 2023. Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party consistently leads or ties Likud in surveys, while Netanyahu’s coalition bloc hovers near or below the 61-seat majority threshold amid backlash over ultra-Orthodox draft exemptions and coalition partners. These trends, stable across multiple pollsters in September 2026, underpin trader consensus on seat losses for the incumbent party despite occasional bloc-level fluctuations.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
音量
$18,302終了日
2027/07/01マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:37 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election project Likud securing roughly 22 seats, well below its 32-seat total from 2022, reflecting sustained erosion of support tied to the inconclusive wars in Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran since 2023. Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party consistently leads or ties Likud in surveys, while Netanyahu’s coalition bloc hovers near or below the 61-seat majority threshold amid backlash over ultra-Orthodox draft exemptions and coalition partners. These trends, stable across multiple pollsters in September 2026, underpin trader consensus on seat losses for the incumbent party despite occasional bloc-level fluctuations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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