Traders assign a 99.1% probability that Jimmy Kimmel will neither resign nor be dismissed by May 31, reflecting the absence of contract disputes, ratings shortfalls, or executive statements from ABC or Disney signaling any near-term shift in his long-running late-night role. His established position since 2003, combined with ongoing production schedules and no reported network programming changes, underpins this consensus among market participants. While an unexpected health development, major controversy, or sudden leadership decision at the network could still alter the outcome in the final weeks, no such catalysts have surfaced to challenge the current outlook.