Kroger’s company guidance for fiscal 2026 identical sales without fuel of 1.0%–2.0% positions the 1%–1.5% range as the leading outcome in the market, with traders assigning it a 43% implied probability. Management explicitly noted in its March 2026 earnings release that Q1 results are expected near the low end of the annual band, citing a continued egg deflation headwind and an approximately 130 basis point drag from lower Inflation Reduction Act pharmacy reimbursements. This outlook follows stronger 2.4% identical sales growth without fuel in Q4 2025 and full-year 2025 growth of 2.9%, but reflects a more cautious sequential trajectory amid moderating inflation and volume trends. With Q1 earnings imminent, the current pricing embeds the consensus view that these near-term pressures will keep growth below the midpoint of the guided range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1%–1.5% 43%
<1% 28%
1.5%–2% 13.1%
2%+ 11.0%
$74,815 Vol.
$74,815 Vol.
<1%
28%
1%–1.5%
43%
1.5%–2%
13%
2%+
11%
1%–1.5% 43%
<1% 28%
1.5%–2% 13.1%
2%+ 11.0%
$74,815 Vol.
$74,815 Vol.
<1%
28%
1%–1.5%
43%
1.5%–2%
13%
2%+
11%
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Kroger's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: May 24, 2026, 9:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Kroger's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kroger’s company guidance for fiscal 2026 identical sales without fuel of 1.0%–2.0% positions the 1%–1.5% range as the leading outcome in the market, with traders assigning it a 43% implied probability. Management explicitly noted in its March 2026 earnings release that Q1 results are expected near the low end of the annual band, citing a continued egg deflation headwind and an approximately 130 basis point drag from lower Inflation Reduction Act pharmacy reimbursements. This outlook follows stronger 2.4% identical sales growth without fuel in Q4 2025 and full-year 2025 growth of 2.9%, but reflects a more cautious sequential trajectory amid moderating inflation and volume trends. With Q1 earnings imminent, the current pricing embeds the consensus view that these near-term pressures will keep growth below the midpoint of the guided range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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