Goldman Sachs holds a 54.5% implied probability of leading SpaceX’s IPO as the primary active bookrunner, ahead of Morgan Stanley at 37%, because April 2026 reporting confirmed both firms among the five banks managing an unprecedented 21-bank syndicate for the “Project Apex” listing. This structure, which forgoes a traditional lead-left position in favor of alphabetical ordering, reflects SpaceX’s preference for broad institutional distribution ahead of a potential June roadshow and Nasdaq debut at a $1.75–2 trillion valuation. Bank of America trails at 7.5% due to its confirmed but secondary role, while the remaining banks sit below 1% as they lack equivalent coordinating responsibilities. Traders are monitoring the final prospectus filing for any last-minute shifts in bookrunner hierarchy.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ゴールドマン・サックス 55%
モルガン・スタンレー 37%
バンク・オブ・アメリカ 7.5%
JPMorgan <1%
$1,768,671 Vol.
$1,768,671 Vol.
2027/12/31
ゴールドマン・サックス
55%
モルガン・スタンレー
37%
バンク・オブ・アメリカ
7%
JPMorgan
<1%
バークレイズ
<1%
UBS
<1%
シティグループ
<1%
ドイツ銀行
<1%
ウェルズ・ファーゴ
<1%
ゴールドマン・サックス 55%
モルガン・スタンレー 37%
バンク・オブ・アメリカ 7.5%
JPMorgan <1%
$1,768,671 Vol.
$1,768,671 Vol.
2027/12/31
ゴールドマン・サックス
$264,366 Vol.
55%
モルガン・スタンレー
$355,315 Vol.
37%
バンク・オブ・アメリカ
$79,474 Vol.
7%
JPMorgan
$315,497 Vol.
<1%
バークレイズ
$69,143 Vol.
<1%
UBS
$102,661 Vol.
<1%
シティグループ
$196,696 Vol.
<1%
ドイツ銀行
$315,422 Vol.
<1%
ウェルズ・ファーゴ
$70,096 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds a 54.5% implied probability of leading SpaceX’s IPO as the primary active bookrunner, ahead of Morgan Stanley at 37%, because April 2026 reporting confirmed both firms among the five banks managing an unprecedented 21-bank syndicate for the “Project Apex” listing. This structure, which forgoes a traditional lead-left position in favor of alphabetical ordering, reflects SpaceX’s preference for broad institutional distribution ahead of a potential June roadshow and Nasdaq debut at a $1.75–2 trillion valuation. Bank of America trails at 7.5% due to its confirmed but secondary role, while the remaining banks sit below 1% as they lack equivalent coordinating responsibilities. Traders are monitoring the final prospectus filing for any last-minute shifts in bookrunner hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ET
音量
$1,768,671終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds a 54.5% implied probability of leading SpaceX’s IPO as the primary active bookrunner, ahead of Morgan Stanley at 37%, because April 2026 reporting confirmed both firms among the five banks managing an unprecedented 21-bank syndicate for the “Project Apex” listing. This structure, which forgoes a traditional lead-left position in favor of alphabetical ordering, reflects SpaceX’s preference for broad institutional distribution ahead of a potential June roadshow and Nasdaq debut at a $1.75–2 trillion valuation. Bank of America trails at 7.5% due to its confirmed but secondary role, while the remaining banks sit below 1% as they lack equivalent coordinating responsibilities. Traders are monitoring the final prospectus filing for any last-minute shifts in bookrunner hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,768,671終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Goldman Sachs holds a 54.5% implied probability of leading SpaceX’s IPO as the primary active bookrunner, ahead of Morgan Stanley at 37%, because April 2026 reporting confirmed both firms among the five banks managing an unprecedented 21-bank syndicate for the “Project Apex” listing. This structure, which forgoes a traditional lead-left position in favor of alphabetical ordering, reflects SpaceX’s preference for broad institutional distribution ahead of a potential June roadshow and Nasdaq debut at a $1.75–2 trillion valuation. Bank of America trails at 7.5% due to its confirmed but secondary role, while the remaining banks sit below 1% as they lack equivalent coordinating responsibilities. Traders are monitoring the final prospectus filing for any last-minute shifts in bookrunner hierarchy.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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