Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a warm daytime period on September 23 with highs near 22–25°C under mostly sunny conditions, but notable uncertainty in the overnight minimum driven by variable cloud cover, shifting winds from the northwest, and potential radiative cooling under clearer skies. This spread in ensemble guidance creates roughly equal market-implied odds for a minimum at or below 9°C versus 19°C or higher, as cooler northerly flows or clearer nights could enhance cooling while residual humidity or cloudiness might limit drops to the 11–14°C range typical for the season. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten resolution criteria around observed station data for London.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月23日のロンドンの最低気温は？
9月23日のロンドンの最低気温は？
11°C 40%
14℃ 40%
16°C 40%
10℃ 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/23
9℃以下
4%
10℃
39%
11°C
40%
12℃
39%
13°C
39%
14℃
40%
15°C
30%
16°C
40%
17℃
39%
18℃
39%
19°C以上
3%
11°C 40%
14℃ 40%
16°C 40%
10℃ 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/23
9℃以下
$0 Vol.
4%
10℃
$0 Vol.
39%
11°C
$0 Vol.
40%
12℃
$0 Vol.
39%
13°C
$0 Vol.
39%
14℃
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
30%
16°C
$0 Vol.
40%
17℃
$0 Vol.
39%
18℃
$0 Vol.
39%
19°C以上
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a warm daytime period on September 23 with highs near 22–25°C under mostly sunny conditions, but notable uncertainty in the overnight minimum driven by variable cloud cover, shifting winds from the northwest, and potential radiative cooling under clearer skies. This spread in ensemble guidance creates roughly equal market-implied odds for a minimum at or below 9°C versus 19°C or higher, as cooler northerly flows or clearer nights could enhance cooling while residual humidity or cloudiness might limit drops to the 11–14°C range typical for the season. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten resolution criteria around observed station data for London.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/23マーケット開始日
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a warm daytime period on September 23 with highs near 22–25°C under mostly sunny conditions, but notable uncertainty in the overnight minimum driven by variable cloud cover, shifting winds from the northwest, and potential radiative cooling under clearer skies. This spread in ensemble guidance creates roughly equal market-implied odds for a minimum at or below 9°C versus 19°C or higher, as cooler northerly flows or clearer nights could enhance cooling while residual humidity or cloudiness might limit drops to the 11–14°C range typical for the season. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten resolution criteria around observed station data for London.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/23マーケット開始日
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a warm daytime period on September 23 with highs near 22–25°C under mostly sunny conditions, but notable uncertainty in the overnight minimum driven by variable cloud cover, shifting winds from the northwest, and potential radiative cooling under clearer skies. This spread in ensemble guidance creates roughly equal market-implied odds for a minimum at or below 9°C versus 19°C or higher, as cooler northerly flows or clearer nights could enhance cooling while residual humidity or cloudiness might limit drops to the 11–14°C range typical for the season. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten resolution criteria around observed station data for London.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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