Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to an overnight low near 66°F in New York City on July 8 amid moderating high pressure and light southwesterly flow, following several days of elevated minima in the upper 70s. Model consensus shows modest cooling from a passing disturbance and increased cloud cover, yet lingering humidity and urban heat-island effects keep warmer bins competitive. These conditions explain the market’s leading 74 °F-or-higher outcome at 46 % implied probability alongside strong support for the 64–67 °F ranges, as traders weigh the narrow window between ongoing warmth and forecast moderation before final NWS observations resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Lowest temperature in NYC on July 8?
Lowest temperature in NYC on July 8?
66-67°F 36%
68-69°F 27%
64-65°F 14%
70-71°F 7%
新規
新規
2026/07/08
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
36%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
1%
66-67°F 36%
68-69°F 27%
64-65°F 14%
70-71°F 7%
新規
新規
2026/07/08
55°F or below
$15 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$15 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$195 Vol.
3%
60-61°F
$225 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$10 Vol.
5%
64-65°F
$68 Vol.
14%
66-67°F
$422 Vol.
36%
68-69°F
$48 Vol.
27%
70-71°F
$1,395 Vol.
7%
72-73°F
$625 Vol.
1%
74°F or higher
$285 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to an overnight low near 66°F in New York City on July 8 amid moderating high pressure and light southwesterly flow, following several days of elevated minima in the upper 70s. Model consensus shows modest cooling from a passing disturbance and increased cloud cover, yet lingering humidity and urban heat-island effects keep warmer bins competitive. These conditions explain the market’s leading 74 °F-or-higher outcome at 46 % implied probability alongside strong support for the 64–67 °F ranges, as traders weigh the narrow window between ongoing warmth and forecast moderation before final NWS observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 6, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
音量
$3,305終了日
2026/07/08マーケット開始日
Jul 6, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to an overnight low near 66°F in New York City on July 8 amid moderating high pressure and light southwesterly flow, following several days of elevated minima in the upper 70s. Model consensus shows modest cooling from a passing disturbance and increased cloud cover, yet lingering humidity and urban heat-island effects keep warmer bins competitive. These conditions explain the market’s leading 74 °F-or-higher outcome at 46 % implied probability alongside strong support for the 64–67 °F ranges, as traders weigh the narrow window between ongoing warmth and forecast moderation before final NWS observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,305終了日
2026/07/08マーケット開始日
Jul 6, 2026, 9:30 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to an overnight low near 66°F in New York City on July 8 amid moderating high pressure and light southwesterly flow, following several days of elevated minima in the upper 70s. Model consensus shows modest cooling from a passing disturbance and increased cloud cover, yet lingering humidity and urban heat-island effects keep warmer bins competitive. These conditions explain the market’s leading 74 °F-or-higher outcome at 46 % implied probability alongside strong support for the 64–67 °F ranges, as traders weigh the narrow window between ongoing warmth and forecast moderation before final NWS observations resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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