Current forecast models point to a mild spring overnight for São Paulo on September 6, with trader-implied odds clustering between 11°C and 16°C because of uncertain cloud cover, light variable winds, and the timing of any weak frontal passage. A weakening subtropical high is allowing gradual warming from recent drier conditions, yet residual moisture and urban heat-island effects could limit how far temperatures drop below typical early-September baselines of 12–15°C. Short-range ensemble guidance shows modest spread in minimum readings, keeping probabilities closely matched and sensitive to the next model updates before dawn.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日のサンパウロの最低気温は？
9月6日のサンパウロの最低気温は？
16℃以上 63%
13℃ 48%
11°C 36%
12℃ 30%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
6°C以下
1%
7℃
7%
8℃
11%
9°C
24%
10°C
28%
11°C
36%
12℃
30%
13℃
48%
14℃
19%
15℃
7%
16℃以上
63%
16℃以上 63%
13℃ 48%
11°C 36%
12℃ 30%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
6°C以下
$10 Vol.
1%
7℃
$0 Vol.
7%
8℃
$0 Vol.
11%
9°C
$0 Vol.
24%
10°C
$0 Vol.
28%
11°C
$0 Vol.
36%
12℃
$0 Vol.
30%
13℃
$0 Vol.
48%
14℃
$0 Vol.
19%
15℃
$0 Vol.
7%
16℃以上
$0 Vol.
63%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models point to a mild spring overnight for São Paulo on September 6, with trader-implied odds clustering between 11°C and 16°C because of uncertain cloud cover, light variable winds, and the timing of any weak frontal passage. A weakening subtropical high is allowing gradual warming from recent drier conditions, yet residual moisture and urban heat-island effects could limit how far temperatures drop below typical early-September baselines of 12–15°C. Short-range ensemble guidance shows modest spread in minimum readings, keeping probabilities closely matched and sensitive to the next model updates before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
音量
$10終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models point to a mild spring overnight for São Paulo on September 6, with trader-implied odds clustering between 11°C and 16°C because of uncertain cloud cover, light variable winds, and the timing of any weak frontal passage. A weakening subtropical high is allowing gradual warming from recent drier conditions, yet residual moisture and urban heat-island effects could limit how far temperatures drop below typical early-September baselines of 12–15°C. Short-range ensemble guidance shows modest spread in minimum readings, keeping probabilities closely matched and sensitive to the next model updates before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$10終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 8:29 AM ETCurrent forecast models point to a mild spring overnight for São Paulo on September 6, with trader-implied odds clustering between 11°C and 16°C because of uncertain cloud cover, light variable winds, and the timing of any weak frontal passage. A weakening subtropical high is allowing gradual warming from recent drier conditions, yet residual moisture and urban heat-island effects could limit how far temperatures drop below typical early-September baselines of 12–15°C. Short-range ensemble guidance shows modest spread in minimum readings, keeping probabilities closely matched and sensitive to the next model updates before dawn.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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