Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate typically produces July overnight lows near 27–29°C amid high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, with the 28–29°C outcomes leading due to current ensemble model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and GFS showing light winds, partial cloud cover, and urban heat retention around July 17. Recent monitoring of potential tropical systems near the East China Sea introduces minor forecast spread, as increased moisture or rain could either suppress or enhance minimum temperatures by a degree through altered boundary-layer mixing. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs where Shanghai minima cluster tightly in this range absent strong frontal passages, with model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of the 48-hour window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月17日の上海の最低気温は?
34°C以上 54%
24℃以下 42%
29°C 40%
28°C 37%
24℃以下
42%
25°C
5%
26°C
11%
27℃
15%
28°C
37%
29°C
40%
30°C
18%
31°C
18%
32°C
27%
33°C
17%
34°C以上
54%
34°C以上 54%
24℃以下 42%
29°C 40%
28°C 37%
24℃以下
42%
25°C
5%
26°C
11%
27℃
15%
28°C
37%
29°C
40%
30°C
18%
31°C
18%
32°C
27%
33°C
17%
34°C以上
54%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate typically produces July overnight lows near 27–29°C amid high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, with the 28–29°C outcomes leading due to current ensemble model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and GFS showing light winds, partial cloud cover, and urban heat retention around July 17. Recent monitoring of potential tropical systems near the East China Sea introduces minor forecast spread, as increased moisture or rain could either suppress or enhance minimum temperatures by a degree through altered boundary-layer mixing. Traders weigh these variables against historical analogs where Shanghai minima cluster tightly in this range absent strong frontal passages, with model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of the 48-hour window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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