Recent heat wave advisories across South Korea, combined with East Asian monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover, anchor trader sentiment around 28–30°C for Seoul’s July 15 high. Official Korea Meteorological Administration monitoring shows persistent high humidity and scattered afternoon convection that can suppress or enhance daytime maxima by 1–2°C depending on timing. Subtle differences in steering flow and urban heat-island effects differentiate the closely matched 27–30°C outcomes, while ensemble model spread remains modest this close to the event. Historical July climatology places typical highs near 29°C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月15日のソウルの最高気温は?
28°C 39%
29°C 31%
27°C 16%
30°C 11%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
16%
28°C
39%
29°C
31%
30°C
11%
31°C or higher
4%
28°C 39%
29°C 31%
27°C 16%
30°C 11%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
16%
28°C
39%
29°C
31%
30°C
11%
31°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent heat wave advisories across South Korea, combined with East Asian monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover, anchor trader sentiment around 28–30°C for Seoul’s July 15 high. Official Korea Meteorological Administration monitoring shows persistent high humidity and scattered afternoon convection that can suppress or enhance daytime maxima by 1–2°C depending on timing. Subtle differences in steering flow and urban heat-island effects differentiate the closely matched 27–30°C outcomes, while ensemble model spread remains modest this close to the event. Historical July climatology places typical highs near 29°C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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