Recent seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for July 2026 amid ongoing climate warming trends, establishing typical overnight minima near 27°C as the baseline. Short-term model consensus points to persistent humid conditions with light winds and possible scattered showers, which limit radiational cooling and favor minimums of 26–28°C; clearer skies could push readings toward 25°C while stronger southerly flow or urban heat retention supports 28°C or higher. Traders weight these factors against historical July variability and upcoming updated forecasts, creating the tight spread across 25–28°C outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月13日の香港の最低気温は?
27°C 27%
28℃ 27%
22℃以下 26%
32°C以上 26%
22℃以下
26%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
18%
26°C
23%
27°C
27%
28℃
27%
29°C
10%
30°C
8%
31°C
12%
32°C以上
26%
27°C 27%
28℃ 27%
22℃以下 26%
32°C以上 26%
22℃以下
26%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
18%
26°C
23%
27°C
27%
28℃
27%
29°C
10%
30°C
8%
31°C
12%
32°C以上
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Jul 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent seasonal outlooks from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate normal to above-normal temperatures for July 2026 amid ongoing climate warming trends, establishing typical overnight minima near 27°C as the baseline. Short-term model consensus points to persistent humid conditions with light winds and possible scattered showers, which limit radiational cooling and favor minimums of 26–28°C; clearer skies could push readings toward 25°C while stronger southerly flow or urban heat retention supports 28°C or higher. Traders weight these factors against historical July variability and upcoming updated forecasts, creating the tight spread across 25–28°C outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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