Recent short-range forecast guidance from the Central Weather Administration points to a peak temperature near 33–34 °C in Taipei on July 13, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. In Taipei’s subtropical climate, maximum readings are shaped by the strength of the East Asian monsoon flow, afternoon convective cloud cover that limits insolation, and urban heat-island effects at official measurement sites. Minor model differences in the timing or coverage of showers, boundary-layer moisture, and steering winds can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, producing the observed spread across 32–35 °C bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月13日の台北の最高気温は?
33°C 26%
34°C 21%
35°C 13.1%
32°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
7%
32°C
8%
33°C
26%
34°C
21%
35°C
13%
36°C
5%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 26%
34°C 21%
35°C 13.1%
32°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
7%
32°C
8%
33°C
26%
34°C
21%
35°C
13%
36°C
5%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecast guidance from the Central Weather Administration points to a peak temperature near 33–34 °C in Taipei on July 13, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. In Taipei’s subtropical climate, maximum readings are shaped by the strength of the East Asian monsoon flow, afternoon convective cloud cover that limits insolation, and urban heat-island effects at official measurement sites. Minor model differences in the timing or coverage of showers, boundary-layer moisture, and steering winds can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, producing the observed spread across 32–35 °C bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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