Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a daily high near 35–36°C on July 15, shaped by the lingering effects of heavy rainfall and moisture from Super Typhoon Bavi, which prompted warnings across Hubei province through July 13. Cloud cover and precipitation associated with the storm system and associated troughs are expected to moderate daytime heating compared with peak-summer climatology, when afternoon maxima often reach 34–38°C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with limited potential for brief clearing that could push readings toward 37°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between this near-term cooling influence and Wuhan’s typical mid-July tendency for rapid warming once rain ends, resulting in tightly matched probabilities for the 36°C and 37°C outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月15日の武漢の最高気温は？
7月15日の武漢の最高気温は？
37°C 40%
36°C 35%
38°C 16.2%
35°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/07/15
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
10%
36°C
35%
37°C
40%
38°C
16%
39°C
2%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
37°C 40%
36°C 35%
38°C 16.2%
35°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/07/15
31°C or below
$69 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$89 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$173 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$485 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$427 Vol.
10%
36°C
$271 Vol.
35%
37°C
$505 Vol.
40%
38°C
$247 Vol.
16%
39°C
$397 Vol.
2%
40°C
$471 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$576 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a daily high near 35–36°C on July 15, shaped by the lingering effects of heavy rainfall and moisture from Super Typhoon Bavi, which prompted warnings across Hubei province through July 13. Cloud cover and precipitation associated with the storm system and associated troughs are expected to moderate daytime heating compared with peak-summer climatology, when afternoon maxima often reach 34–38°C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with limited potential for brief clearing that could push readings toward 37°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between this near-term cooling influence and Wuhan’s typical mid-July tendency for rapid warming once rain ends, resulting in tightly matched probabilities for the 36°C and 37°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$3,710終了日
2026/07/15マーケット開始日
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a daily high near 35–36°C on July 15, shaped by the lingering effects of heavy rainfall and moisture from Super Typhoon Bavi, which prompted warnings across Hubei province through July 13. Cloud cover and precipitation associated with the storm system and associated troughs are expected to moderate daytime heating compared with peak-summer climatology, when afternoon maxima often reach 34–38°C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with limited potential for brief clearing that could push readings toward 37°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between this near-term cooling influence and Wuhan’s typical mid-July tendency for rapid warming once rain ends, resulting in tightly matched probabilities for the 36°C and 37°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,710終了日
2026/07/15マーケット開始日
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a daily high near 35–36°C on July 15, shaped by the lingering effects of heavy rainfall and moisture from Super Typhoon Bavi, which prompted warnings across Hubei province through July 13. Cloud cover and precipitation associated with the storm system and associated troughs are expected to moderate daytime heating compared with peak-summer climatology, when afternoon maxima often reach 34–38°C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with limited potential for brief clearing that could push readings toward 37°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between this near-term cooling influence and Wuhan’s typical mid-July tendency for rapid warming once rain ends, resulting in tightly matched probabilities for the 36°C and 37°C outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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