Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on July 14 indicate a maximum of 29–30°C under continued high-pressure influence and mostly sunny conditions following the early-July heatwave that peaked at 35°C on July 9. These official guidance values, combined with limited day-to-day variability in short-range models, have concentrated trader consensus on the 29–31°C brackets. Key variables include the strength of the northeasterly flow moderating coastal warming and the urban heat island effect potentially adding 1–2°C in central areas. With resolution just 48 hours away, updated model runs and any revisions from the Met Office will be the main near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月14日のロンドンの最高気温は？
7月14日のロンドンの最高気温は？
29°C 47%
30°C 31%
28°C 18%
27°C 4.7%
新規
$57,226 Vol.
新規
$57,226 Vol.
2026/07/14
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
18%
29°C
47%
30°C
31%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 47%
30°C 31%
28°C 18%
27°C 4.7%
新規
$57,226 Vol.
新規
$57,226 Vol.
2026/07/14
24°C or below
$2,813 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,942 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5,194 Vol.
1%
27°C
$12,731 Vol.
5%
28°C
$7,820 Vol.
18%
29°C
$6,171 Vol.
47%
30°C
$4,779 Vol.
31%
31°C
$4,401 Vol.
3%
32°C
$4,592 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,278 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$3,535 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on July 14 indicate a maximum of 29–30°C under continued high-pressure influence and mostly sunny conditions following the early-July heatwave that peaked at 35°C on July 9. These official guidance values, combined with limited day-to-day variability in short-range models, have concentrated trader consensus on the 29–31°C brackets. Key variables include the strength of the northeasterly flow moderating coastal warming and the urban heat island effect potentially adding 1–2°C in central areas. With resolution just 48 hours away, updated model runs and any revisions from the Met Office will be the main near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
音量
$57,226終了日
2026/07/14マーケット開始日
Jul 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on July 14 indicate a maximum of 29–30°C under continued high-pressure influence and mostly sunny conditions following the early-July heatwave that peaked at 35°C on July 9. These official guidance values, combined with limited day-to-day variability in short-range models, have concentrated trader consensus on the 29–31°C brackets. Key variables include the strength of the northeasterly flow moderating coastal warming and the urban heat island effect potentially adding 1–2°C in central areas. With resolution just 48 hours away, updated model runs and any revisions from the Met Office will be the main near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$57,226終了日
2026/07/14マーケット開始日
Jul 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETRecent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on July 14 indicate a maximum of 29–30°C under continued high-pressure influence and mostly sunny conditions following the early-July heatwave that peaked at 35°C on July 9. These official guidance values, combined with limited day-to-day variability in short-range models, have concentrated trader consensus on the 29–31°C brackets. Key variables include the strength of the northeasterly flow moderating coastal warming and the urban heat island effect potentially adding 1–2°C in central areas. With resolution just 48 hours away, updated model runs and any revisions from the Met Office will be the main near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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