Recent model consensus from European and global ensembles indicates Milan will likely see a daily high around or below 32°C on July 15, driven by increased cloud cover, easterly flow, and limited daytime heating ahead of a weak frontal passage. This positions the 32°C-or-below outcome as the market leader, consistent with official station data from Malpensa and historical July variability where transient cooling reduces peak values below seasonal averages of 30–33°C. Upcoming high-resolution runs from the ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service will refine whether any late intensification of insolation pushes readings into the 33–34°C range. Trader sentiment reflects these near-term atmospheric steering patterns rather than long-term climatology.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月15日のミラノの最高気温は?
34°C 30%
33°C 28%
32°C or below 22%
35°C 18%
$10,501 Vol.
$10,501 Vol.
32°C or below
22%
33°C
28%
34°C
30%
35°C
18%
36°C
6%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
34°C 30%
33°C 28%
32°C or below 22%
35°C 18%
$10,501 Vol.
$10,501 Vol.
32°C or below
22%
33°C
28%
34°C
30%
35°C
18%
36°C
6%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from European and global ensembles indicates Milan will likely see a daily high around or below 32°C on July 15, driven by increased cloud cover, easterly flow, and limited daytime heating ahead of a weak frontal passage. This positions the 32°C-or-below outcome as the market leader, consistent with official station data from Malpensa and historical July variability where transient cooling reduces peak values below seasonal averages of 30–33°C. Upcoming high-resolution runs from the ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service will refine whether any late intensification of insolation pushes readings into the 33–34°C range. Trader sentiment reflects these near-term atmospheric steering patterns rather than long-term climatology.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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