Forecast models from major agencies indicate a building high-pressure ridge over the Po Valley will drive Milan’s July 14 maximum into the mid-30s °C range, with ensemble guidance clustering near 34–35 °C after accounting for local urban heat-island effects and modest northerly flow. Subtle differences among runs hinge on the precise timing of ridge axis passage and boundary-layer mixing depth, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Recent satellite and radiosonde data show strengthening subsidence and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market’s tight split between 34 °C and 35 °C outcomes while keeping higher or lower brackets at low implied probability. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will further narrow the uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月14日のミラノの最高気温は？
7月14日のミラノの最高気温は？
34°C 48%
35°C 27%
33°C 25%
36°C 2.5%
新規
$18,336 Vol.
新規
$18,336 Vol.
2026/07/14
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
25%
34°C
48%
35°C
27%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 48%
35°C 27%
33°C 25%
36°C 2.5%
新規
$18,336 Vol.
新規
$18,336 Vol.
2026/07/14
29°C or below
$236 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,493 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,907 Vol.
1%
32°C
$3,333 Vol.
1%
33°C
$2,948 Vol.
25%
34°C
$1,963 Vol.
48%
35°C
$1,794 Vol.
27%
36°C
$2,594 Vol.
2%
37°C
$1,313 Vol.
1%
38°C
$402 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$354 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from major agencies indicate a building high-pressure ridge over the Po Valley will drive Milan’s July 14 maximum into the mid-30s °C range, with ensemble guidance clustering near 34–35 °C after accounting for local urban heat-island effects and modest northerly flow. Subtle differences among runs hinge on the precise timing of ridge axis passage and boundary-layer mixing depth, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Recent satellite and radiosonde data show strengthening subsidence and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market’s tight split between 34 °C and 35 °C outcomes while keeping higher or lower brackets at low implied probability. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will further narrow the uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
音量
$18,336終了日
2026/07/14マーケット開始日
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from major agencies indicate a building high-pressure ridge over the Po Valley will drive Milan’s July 14 maximum into the mid-30s °C range, with ensemble guidance clustering near 34–35 °C after accounting for local urban heat-island effects and modest northerly flow. Subtle differences among runs hinge on the precise timing of ridge axis passage and boundary-layer mixing depth, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Recent satellite and radiosonde data show strengthening subsidence and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market’s tight split between 34 °C and 35 °C outcomes while keeping higher or lower brackets at low implied probability. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will further narrow the uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$18,336終了日
2026/07/14マーケット開始日
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETForecast models from major agencies indicate a building high-pressure ridge over the Po Valley will drive Milan’s July 14 maximum into the mid-30s °C range, with ensemble guidance clustering near 34–35 °C after accounting for local urban heat-island effects and modest northerly flow. Subtle differences among runs hinge on the precise timing of ridge axis passage and boundary-layer mixing depth, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Recent satellite and radiosonde data show strengthening subsidence and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market’s tight split between 34 °C and 35 °C outcomes while keeping higher or lower brackets at low implied probability. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will further narrow the uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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