Recent ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen indicate highs near 30–32°C on July 14 amid active East Asian summer monsoon conditions, with southwesterly flow delivering warm, humid air masses and scattered convective showers that can modulate peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical July averages hover around 32°C, but short-term model runs show sensitivity to timing of rainfall and boundary-layer moisture, spreading trader-implied odds across 28–31°C. Key variables include afternoon thunderstorm potential from the South China Sea monsoon branch and any shifts in subtropical ridge positioning, with updated NWP guidance expected to refine the distribution before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月14日の深センの最高気温は？
7月14日の深センの最高気温は？
29℃ 34%
30℃ 22%
31℃ 20%
28℃ 11%
新規
$38,362 Vol.
新規
$38,362 Vol.
2026/07/14
24℃以下
<1%
25℃
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
11%
29℃
34%
30℃
22%
31℃
20%
32°C
3%
33°C
3%
34℃以上
1%
29℃ 34%
30℃ 22%
31℃ 20%
28℃ 11%
新規
$38,362 Vol.
新規
$38,362 Vol.
2026/07/14
24℃以下
$301 Vol.
<1%
25℃
$1,055 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$6,408 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$8,280 Vol.
<1%
28℃
$3,604 Vol.
11%
29℃
$2,698 Vol.
34%
30℃
$3,585 Vol.
22%
31℃
$1,879 Vol.
20%
32°C
$3,353 Vol.
3%
33°C
$2,414 Vol.
3%
34℃以上
$4,947 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen indicate highs near 30–32°C on July 14 amid active East Asian summer monsoon conditions, with southwesterly flow delivering warm, humid air masses and scattered convective showers that can modulate peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical July averages hover around 32°C, but short-term model runs show sensitivity to timing of rainfall and boundary-layer moisture, spreading trader-implied odds across 28–31°C. Key variables include afternoon thunderstorm potential from the South China Sea monsoon branch and any shifts in subtropical ridge positioning, with updated NWP guidance expected to refine the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
音量
$38,362終了日
2026/07/14マーケット開始日
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen indicate highs near 30–32°C on July 14 amid active East Asian summer monsoon conditions, with southwesterly flow delivering warm, humid air masses and scattered convective showers that can modulate peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical July averages hover around 32°C, but short-term model runs show sensitivity to timing of rainfall and boundary-layer moisture, spreading trader-implied odds across 28–31°C. Key variables include afternoon thunderstorm potential from the South China Sea monsoon branch and any shifts in subtropical ridge positioning, with updated NWP guidance expected to refine the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$38,362終了日
2026/07/14マーケット開始日
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen indicate highs near 30–32°C on July 14 amid active East Asian summer monsoon conditions, with southwesterly flow delivering warm, humid air masses and scattered convective showers that can modulate peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical July averages hover around 32°C, but short-term model runs show sensitivity to timing of rainfall and boundary-layer moisture, spreading trader-implied odds across 28–31°C. Key variables include afternoon thunderstorm potential from the South China Sea monsoon branch and any shifts in subtropical ridge positioning, with updated NWP guidance expected to refine the distribution before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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