Recent heavy rainfall across northern Taiwan combined with the shift toward northeasterly monsoon winds has introduced cooler, more stable air masses and increased cloud cover, supporting the market's 50% implied probability for a low of 19°C or below on September 7. These winds, typical after summer low-pressure systems, promote radiative cooling overnight and advection of milder maritime air, with Central Weather Administration guidance noting localized showers and gradual temperature moderation. Historical September lows average near 24–25°C, but current model consensus and the proximity to resolution heighten sensitivity to any further wind strengthening or precipitation timing. Updated CWA forecasts and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine trader positioning around these thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月7日の台北の最低気温は?
19℃以下 100%
27℃ 49%
20℃ 48%
21°C 48%
19℃以下
100%
20℃
48%
21°C
48%
22°C
48%
23°C
32%
24℃
32%
25℃
26%
26℃
48%
27℃
49%
28℃
2%
29℃以上
35%
19℃以下 100%
27℃ 49%
20℃ 48%
21°C 48%
19℃以下
100%
20℃
48%
21°C
48%
22°C
48%
23°C
32%
24℃
32%
25℃
26%
26℃
48%
27℃
49%
28℃
2%
29℃以上
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent heavy rainfall across northern Taiwan combined with the shift toward northeasterly monsoon winds has introduced cooler, more stable air masses and increased cloud cover, supporting the market's 50% implied probability for a low of 19°C or below on September 7. These winds, typical after summer low-pressure systems, promote radiative cooling overnight and advection of milder maritime air, with Central Weather Administration guidance noting localized showers and gradual temperature moderation. Historical September lows average near 24–25°C, but current model consensus and the proximity to resolution heighten sensitivity to any further wind strengthening or precipitation timing. Updated CWA forecasts and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine trader positioning around these thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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