US authorities captured Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 during a military operation, unsealed a superseding indictment charging him with four counts including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy, and transported him to face trial in the Southern District of New York. Maduro and co-defendants entered not guilty pleas in early 2026. A judge set a June 2027 trial date after defense counsel signaled plans to seek dismissal on sovereign immunity and related grounds. These procedural steps, combined with the multi-year timeline to resolution, the high evidentiary bar for proving every element of the narco-terrorism and weapons counts beyond a reasonable doubt, and historical patterns in complex federal conspiracy prosecutions, underpin trader expectations that conviction on all counts remains the less probable outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
29% 確率
$130,413 Vol.
$130,413 Vol.
2027/12/31
はい
29% 確率
$130,413 Vol.
$130,413 Vol.
2027/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US authorities captured Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 during a military operation, unsealed a superseding indictment charging him with four counts including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy, and transported him to face trial in the Southern District of New York. Maduro and co-defendants entered not guilty pleas in early 2026. A judge set a June 2027 trial date after defense counsel signaled plans to seek dismissal on sovereign immunity and related grounds. These procedural steps, combined with the multi-year timeline to resolution, the high evidentiary bar for proving every element of the narco-terrorism and weapons counts beyond a reasonable doubt, and historical patterns in complex federal conspiracy prosecutions, underpin trader expectations that conviction on all counts remains the less probable outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
音量
$130,413終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US authorities captured Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 during a military operation, unsealed a superseding indictment charging him with four counts including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy, and transported him to face trial in the Southern District of New York. Maduro and co-defendants entered not guilty pleas in early 2026. A judge set a June 2027 trial date after defense counsel signaled plans to seek dismissal on sovereign immunity and related grounds. These procedural steps, combined with the multi-year timeline to resolution, the high evidentiary bar for proving every element of the narco-terrorism and weapons counts beyond a reasonable doubt, and historical patterns in complex federal conspiracy prosecutions, underpin trader expectations that conviction on all counts remains the less probable outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$130,413終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US authorities captured Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 during a military operation, unsealed a superseding indictment charging him with four counts including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy, and transported him to face trial in the Southern District of New York. Maduro and co-defendants entered not guilty pleas in early 2026. A judge set a June 2027 trial date after defense counsel signaled plans to seek dismissal on sovereign immunity and related grounds. These procedural steps, combined with the multi-year timeline to resolution, the high evidentiary bar for proving every element of the narco-terrorism and weapons counts beyond a reasonable doubt, and historical patterns in complex federal conspiracy prosecutions, underpin trader expectations that conviction on all counts remains the less probable outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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