Current low and stable SARS-CoV-2 transmission underpins the 94.3% market-implied odds against a new coronavirus pandemic in 2026. CDC data through mid-June show Rt near 0.98 nationally, with COVID-19 accounting for just 0.1% of emergency visits and test positivity below 1% in most regions; WHO surveillance through May similarly reports declining or stable cases across 62 countries and only 1.2% positivity in sentinel testing. Dominant Omicron subvariants such as XFG and BA.3.2 continue to circulate at low levels without meeting pandemic thresholds. Trader consensus reflects this sustained suppression, though a novel zoonotic spillover or rapidly evolving variant with enhanced transmissibility and immune escape could still alter trajectories before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$16,828 Vol.
$16,828 Vol.
はい
$16,828 Vol.
$16,828 Vol.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
マーケット開始日： Jan 6, 2026, 2:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Current low and stable SARS-CoV-2 transmission underpins the 94.3% market-implied odds against a new coronavirus pandemic in 2026. CDC data through mid-June show Rt near 0.98 nationally, with COVID-19 accounting for just 0.1% of emergency visits and test positivity below 1% in most regions; WHO surveillance through May similarly reports declining or stable cases across 62 countries and only 1.2% positivity in sentinel testing. Dominant Omicron subvariants such as XFG and BA.3.2 continue to circulate at low levels without meeting pandemic thresholds. Trader consensus reflects this sustained suppression, though a novel zoonotic spillover or rapidly evolving variant with enhanced transmissibility and immune escape could still alter trajectories before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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